Internacional vs Mirassol
Internacional
#14 · Serie A
LDWDW
1 - 2
Referee: D. Lacerda
Mirassol
#18 · Serie A
WLLWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.89
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 (implied 55.5%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.0% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.79. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Internacional will face Mirassol in the Serie A.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Internacional has a 53.9% probability of winning this match. Mirassol has a 23.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Internacional53.9%1.77
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556%1.80
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.3%1.84
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
6.12
16.4%
1-1
6.42
15.6%
2-1
7.75
13%
2-0
7.74
13%
0-0
8.96
11.2%
0-1
10.83
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.77 | Draw 3.57 | Away 4.55 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.00 | Under 1.80 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.30 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.50 | Under 1.27 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.88 | No 1.84 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.19 | 12 1.26 | X2 2.01 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.6%
Over 1.5 Goals71.6%
Over 2.5 Goals44%
Over 3.5 Goals26.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 29 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 | WWWLD |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 4 |  Sao Paulo | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 20 | LLWDL |
| 5 |  Bahia | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | LWLWL |
| 6 |  Atletico Paranaense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 19 | LWLLW |
| 14 | Internacional | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 13 | LDWDW |
| 18 | Mirassol | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | LDDLW |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonInternacionalMirassol
1.29Goals p.g.1.05
0.94Goals conceded p.g.1.21
35%Clean sheets16%
41%Win rate21%
2.24Avg goals in match2.26
Recent Results
InternacionalLAST MATCHES
19 AprInternacional1–2MirassolSerie A
11 AprInternacional0–0GremioSerie A
05 AprCorinthians0–1InternacionalSerie A
01 AprInternacional1–1Sao PauloSerie A
22 MarInternacional2–0Chapecoense-scSerie A
19 MarSantos1–2InternacionalSerie A
7Win41%
5Draw29%
5Lost29%
LAST MATCHESMirassol
19 AprInternacional1–2MirassolSerie A
15 AprLDU de Quito2–0MirassolCONMEBOL Libertadores
11 AprMirassol1–2BahiaSerie A
08 AprMirassol1–0LanusCONMEBOL Libertadores
05 AprMirassol0–1RB BragantinoSerie A
01 AprBotafogo3–2MirassolSerie A
4Win21%
5Draw26%
9Lost47%
Lineups
ConfirmedInternacional4-2-3-1Confirmed
4Félix TorresDEF
41Victor GabrielDEF
35Braian AguirreDEF
15Bruno GomesDEF
19Rafael BorréFWD
12AnthoniGK
27Paulinho PaulaMID
5Rodrigo VillagraMID
28VitinhoMID
10Alan PatrickMID
31AllexMID
Substitutes
20Clayton SampaioDEF
18JuninhoDEF
30Alisson Rodrigues de MeloDEF
17Bruno TabataFWD
44João Victor Alves de Morais FranciscoFWD
11KaykyFWD
9AlerrandroFWD
7Johan CarboneroFWD
22KauanGK
29Thiago MaiaMID
8Bruno HenriqueMID
33Benjamin ArhinMID
Mirassol4-2-3-1Confirmed
32Igor FormigaDEF
3Willian MachadoDEF
2Lucas OliveiraDEF
34João VictorDEF
99André LuisFWD
22WalterGK
8DenilsonMID
6ReinaldoMID
77AlessonMID
7ShaylonMID
21José AldoMID
Substitutes
20Daniel BorgesDEF
97RodriguesDEF
12Victor LuisDEF
29Tiquinho SoaresFWD
96Carlos EduardoFWD
95Edson CariocaFWD
27Antonio GaleanoFWD
9Nathan FogaçaFWD
17Everton GaldinoFWD
23Alex MuralhaGK
10ChicoMID
25Neto MouraMID
Unavailable Players
8 playersInternacional3
A. Bernabei
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
G. Mercado
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Ronaldo
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Mirassol5
Eduardo
Missing FixtureRed Card
Igor Carius
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Negueba
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Reinaldo
QuestionableInjury
Yuri Lara
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.80 (56%)
Value Bets
Internacional Win1.77 (53.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.00 (44%)
Both Teams Score1.88 (47.7%)
BTTS No1.84 (52.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.57 (23%)
Mirassol Win4.55 (23.1%)
