Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
#12 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DWWWW
5 - 1
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza
Referee: Y. Perez
Gimnasia M.
#23 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WDWLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 59.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Independ. Rivadavia will face Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Independ. Rivadavia has a 57.4% probability of winning this match. Gimnasia M. has a 17.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Independ. Rivadavia are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Independ. Rivadavia sit 12th in the table, 11 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Independ. Rivadavia57.4%1.81
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.563.3%1.50
Both Teams to Score
No59.1%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
4.95
20.3%
1-1
6.13
16.4%
0-0
6.41
15.7%
2-0
6.87
14.6%
2-1
8.75
11.5%
0-1
9.84
10.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.81 | Draw 3.07 | Away 5.36 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.53 | Under 1.50 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.48 | Under 2.53 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.94 | Under 1.16 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.24 | No 1.59 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.14 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.96 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals85.4%
Over 1.5 Goals63.1%
Over 2.5 Goals36.7%
Over 3.5 Goals19%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 12 | Independ. Rivadavia | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | DWWWW | |||
| 23 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | WDWLL | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonIndepend. RivadaviaGimnasia M.
1.65Goals p.g.0.73
0.82Goals conceded p.g.1.07
35%Clean sheets33%
71%Win rate27%
2.47Avg goals in match1.8
Recent Results
Independ. RivadaviaLAST MATCHES
20 AprBanfield0–0Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
16 AprFluminense1–2Independ. RivadaviaCONMEBOL Libertadores
11 AprIndepend. Rivadavia3–1Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
07 AprIndepend. Rivadavia1–0BolívarCONMEBOL Libertadores
02 AprTigre0–2Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
23 MarIndepend. Rivadavia2–0Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
12Win71%
3Draw18%
2Lost12%
LAST MATCHESGimnasia M.
21 AprGimnasia M.1–0LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
15 AprGimnasia M.0–0Gimnasia Y TiroCopa Argentina
03 AprGimnasia M.3–2Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
21 MarNewells Old Boys1–0Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina
18 MarGimnasia M.1–2Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
12 MarDeportivo Riestra0–0Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina
4Win27%
5Draw33%
6Lost40%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersIndepend. Rivadavia
No reported absences
Gimnasia M.
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Independ. Rivadavia Win1.81 (57.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.50 (63.3%)
BTTS No1.59 (59.1%)
Value Bets
Draw3.07 (25.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.53 (36.7%)
Both Teams Score2.24 (40.9%)
Speculative
Gimnasia M. Win5.36 (17.1%)
