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Guimaraes vs Rio Ave

Primeira LigaRegular Season - 31
Guimaraes
#7 · Primeira Liga
WDWLL
2 - 0
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Referee: D. Silva
Rio Ave
#12 · Primeira Liga
WLWWW
52.8%
Home Win
22.8%
Draw
24.4%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Guimaraes will face Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Guimaraes has a 52.8% probability of winning this match. Rio Ave has a 24.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Rio Ave are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Guimaraes52.8%1.79
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.2%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.52
15.4%
1-0
7.15
14.1%
2-1
7.72
13%
2-0
8.41
12%
0-0
9.92
10.3%
0-1
12.08
8.4%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.79Draw 3.49Away 4.48
O/U 2.5Over 1.82Under 1.97
O/U 1.5Over 1.24Under 3.71
O/U 3.5Over 2.98Under 1.36
BTTSYes 1.72No 2.02
Double Chance1X 1.1912 1.27X2 1.98

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
74.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
31.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Primeira Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Porto
30254161144779
WWDWW
2
Benfica
30219063194472
WWDWW
3
Sporting CP
29225274195571
LWWWD
4
SC Braga
30168658292956
WDWWL
5
Famalicao
30139838271148
DDDWW
6
GIL Vicente
301210844311346
LDWLD
7
Guimaraes
30116133643-739
WDWLL
12
Rio Ave
30810123350-1734
DWLWW
16
Casa Pia
30511142853-2526
LDLDL
17
Tondela
2949162148-2721
LDLDL
18
AVS
30110192164-4313
DDLDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
GuimaraesRio Ave
1.47Goals p.g.0.86
1.53Goals conceded p.g.1.71
20%Clean sheets21%
40%Win rate36%
3Avg goals in match2.57

Recent Results

GuimaraesLAST MATCHES
18 AprGIL Vicente0–1GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
11 AprAVS1–1GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
03 AprGuimaraes5–0TondelaPrimeira Liga
21 MarBenfica3–0GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
14 MarGuimaraes1–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
08 MarSanta Clara2–0GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
6Win40%
2Draw13%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESRio Ave
11 AprSanta Clara0–2Rio AvePrimeira Liga
04 AprRio Ave1–2AlvercaPrimeira Liga
22 MarEstoril1–2Rio AvePrimeira Liga
15 MarRio Ave2–1EstrelaPrimeira Liga
09 MarTondela0–1Rio AvePrimeira Liga
01 MarRio Ave0–0FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
5Win36%
1Draw7%
8Lost57%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Guimaraes

No reported absences

Rio Ave

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
Guimaraes Win1.79 (52.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (52.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.97 (47.8%)
Both Teams Score1.72 (54.6%)
BTTS No2.02 (45.4%)
●Speculative
Draw3.49 (22.8%)
Rio Ave Win4.48 (24.4%)
Guimaraes vs Rio Ave Predictions, Stats, H2H - 25 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro