Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana

Guadalajara Chivas
#1 · Liga MX
DWLDW
0 - 0
Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Club Tijuana
#9 · Liga MX
WDWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Guadalajara Chivas will face Club Tijuana in the Liga MX at Estadio Akron.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Guadalajara Chivas has a 61.4% probability of winning this match. Club Tijuana has a 20.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Club Tijuana have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Guadalajara Chivas sit 1st in the table, 8 places above their opponents
- Guadalajara Chivas have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Guadalajara Chivas61.4%1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.5%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.53
13.3%
2-1
7.70
13.1%
1-0
8.50
11.8%
1-1
8.93
11.2%
3-0
9.53
10.6%
3-1
9.79
10.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.38 | Draw 4.88 | Away 6.99 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.48 | Under 2.53 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.41 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.22 | Under 1.63 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.68 | No 2.06 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.09 | 12 1.15 | X2 2.86 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.6%
Over 1.5 Goals82.7%
Over 2.5 Goals56.5%
Over 3.5 Goals42.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 35 | DWLDW | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 33 | WWWDW | |
| 3 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 | LWWWD | |
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 30 | DDDLD | |
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 | LLDLD | |
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 | WWDDL | |
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 | WDWWL | |
| 16 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 15 | WDLLD | |
| 17 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 13 | LLLDL | |
| 18 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 9 | LLLDW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGuadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana
1.89Goals p.g.1.19
0.94Goals conceded p.g.1.06
50%Clean sheets25%
67%Win rate31%
2.83Avg goals in match2.25
Recent Results
Guadalajara ChivasLAST MATCHES
23 AprNecaxa0–0Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
19 AprGuadalajara Chivas5–0PueblaLiga MX
11 AprTigres UANL4–1Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
06 AprGuadalajara Chivas2–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
30 MarAtlas0–1Guadalajara ChivasFriendlies Clubs
22 MarMonterrey2–3Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
12Win67%
3Draw17%
3Lost17%
LAST MATCHESClub Tijuana
23 AprClub Tijuana3–1PachucaLiga MX
18 AprCruz Azul1–1Club TijuanaLiga MX
11 AprFC Juarez1–2Club TijuanaLiga MX
04 AprClub Tijuana1–0Tigres UANLLiga MX
21 MarNecaxa3–0Club TijuanaLiga MX
15 MarLeon0–3Club TijuanaLiga MX
5Win31%
7Draw44%
4Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Guadalajara Chivas
No reported absences
Club Tijuana
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Guadalajara Chivas Win1.38 (61.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.48 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.53 (43.5%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (53.3%)
BTTS No2.06 (46.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.88 (18.4%)
Club Tijuana Win6.99 (20.2%)