Girona vs Real Betis
Girona
#13 · La Liga
DWLWD
2 - 3
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Referee: I. Galech
Real Betis
#5 · La Liga
DDLWD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
2.01
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.96 (implied 51.0%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 52.9% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.89. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Girona will face Real Betis in the La Liga at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Girona has a 43.8% probability of winning this match. Real Betis has a 32% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Real Betis sit 5th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Girona43.8%2.43
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.9%1.96
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%1.64
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.15
16.3%
2-1
8.63
11.6%
1-0
8.65
11.6%
0-1
9.35
10.7%
1-2
9.74
10.3%
0-0
10.17
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.43 | Draw 3.34 | Away 2.94 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.87 | Under 1.96 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.26 | Under 3.69 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.05 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.64 | No 2.16 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.40 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals47.1%
Over 3.5 Goals30.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 13 | Girona | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 | LDWLW |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGironaReal Betis
1.29Goals p.g.1.12
0.86Goals conceded p.g.1.38
29%Clean sheets19%
43%Win rate31%
2.14Avg goals in match2.5
Recent Results
GironaLAST MATCHES
10 AprReal Madrid1–1GironaLa Liga
06 AprGirona1–0VillarrealLa Liga
21 MarOsasuna1–0GironaLa Liga
14 MarGirona3–0Athletic ClubLa Liga
07 MarLevante1–1GironaLa Liga
01 MarGirona1–2Celta VigoLa Liga
6Win43%
5Draw36%
3Lost21%
LAST MATCHESReal Betis
08 AprSC Braga1–1Real BetisUEFA Europa League
04 AprReal Betis0–0EspanyolLa Liga
22 MarAthletic Club2–1Real BetisLa Liga
19 MarReal Betis4–0PanathinaikosUEFA Europa League
15 MarReal Betis1–1Celta VigoLa Liga
12 MarPanathinaikos1–0Real BetisUEFA Europa League
5Win31%
5Draw31%
6Lost38%
Lineups
ConfirmedGirona4-3-3Confirmed
17Daley BlindDEF
12Vitor ReisDEF
24Alex MorenoDEF
4Arnau MartínezDEF
18Azzedine OunahiFWD
15Viktor TsygankovFWD
14Claudio EcheverriFWD
13Paulo GazzanigaGK
23Iván MartínMID
20Axel WitselMID
8Fran BeltránMID
Substitutes
5David LopezDEF
28Gilbert JordanaDEF
16Alejandro FrancésDEF
2Hugo RincónDEF
7Cristhian StuaniFWD
21Bryan GilFWD
1Ruben BlancoGK
25Vladyslav KrapyvtsovGK
36Ricard ArteroMID
3Joel RocaMID
11Thomas LemarMID
Real Betis4-3-3Confirmed
4NatanDEF
5Marc BartraDEF
24Aitor RuibalDEF
16Valentín GómezDEF
10Abdessamad EzzalzouliFWD
19Cucho HernándezFWD
8Pablo FornalsFWD
1Álvaro VallesGK
14Sofyan AmrabatMID
21Marc RocaMID
20Giovani Lo CelsoMID
Substitutes
2Hector BellerinDEF
12Ricardo RodríguezDEF
11Cedric BakambuFWD
9Chimy ÁvilaFWD
52Pablo GarcíaFWD
13AdriánGK
25Pau LopezGK
17Rodrigo RiquelmeMID
18Nelson DeossaMID
15Álvaro FidalgoMID
22IscoMID
6Sergi AltimiraMID
Unavailable Players
11 playersGirona7
A. Ruiz
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
D. van de Beek
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
Juan Carlos
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. ter Stegen
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Portu
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Artero
QuestionableAnkle Injury
V. Vanat
Missing FixtureInjury
Real Betis4
A. Ortiz
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury
Antony
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
D. Llorente
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
J. Firpo
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Girona Win2.43 (43.8%)
Real Betis Win2.94 (32%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.87 (47.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.96 (52.9%)
Both Teams Score1.64 (52.6%)
BTTS No2.16 (47.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.34 (24.3%)
