Gimnasia M. vs Lanus
Gimnasia M.
#23 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WDWLL
1 - 0
Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Referee: F. Viola
Lanus
#8 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WLDLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 58.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Gimnasia M. will face Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Victor Legrotaglie.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Gimnasia M. has a 31.8% probability of winning this match. Lanus has a 40.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 27.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lanus sit 8th in the table, 15 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Lanus40.9%2.42
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.566.8%1.37
Both Teams to Score
No58.9%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
5.26
19%
0-0
5.53
18.2%
1-1
5.65
17.8%
1-0
6.45
15.6%
0-2
9.57
10.5%
1-2
9.98
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.32 | Draw 2.82 | Away 2.42 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.96 | Under 1.37 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.64 | Under 2.21 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 6.26 | Under 1.10 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.28 | No 1.56 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.54 | 12 1.38 | X2 1.31 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals83.4%
Over 1.5 Goals57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals33.2%
Over 3.5 Goals15%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 8 | Lanus | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 | LWDLW | |||
| 23 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | WDWLL | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonGimnasia M.Lanus
0.73Goals p.g.1.38
1.07Goals conceded p.g.1.06
33%Clean sheets38%
27%Win rate50%
1.8Avg goals in match2.44
Recent Results
Gimnasia M.LAST MATCHES
21 AprGimnasia M.1–0LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
15 AprGimnasia M.0–0Gimnasia Y TiroCopa Argentina
03 AprGimnasia M.3–2Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
21 MarNewells Old Boys1–0Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina
18 MarGimnasia M.1–2Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
12 MarDeportivo Riestra0–0Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina
4Win27%
5Draw33%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESLanus
16 AprLanus1–0Always ReadyCONMEBOL Libertadores
08 AprMirassol1–0LanusCONMEBOL Libertadores
01 AprLanus0–0PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
27 MarArgentinos JRS2–1LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
21 MarVelez Sarsfield0–1LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
17 MarLanus5–0Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
8Win50%
4Draw25%
4Lost25%
Lineups
ConfirmedGimnasia M.4-2-3-1Confirmed
4Ezequiel MuñozDEF
36Ismael CortezDEF
2Diego MondinoDEF
24Franco SaavedraDEF
29Agustín ModicaFWD
23Cesar RigamontiGK
33Brian AndradaMID
26Facundo LencioniMID
17Ignacio SabatiniMID
30Esteban FernándezMID
21Fermin AntoniniMID
Substitutes
7Luciano CingolaniFWD
10Nicolás RomanoFWD
27Blas ArmoaFWD
35Valentino SimoniFWD
11Santiago RodríguezFWD
31Lautaro PetruchiGK
41Gerónimo PatrittiMID
3Matias RecaldeMID
42Lautaro CarreraMID
28Tomás O'ConnorMID
15Ulises SánchezMID
5Nahuel BarbozaMID
Lanus4-2-3-1Confirmed
33Tomás GuidaraDEF
6Sasha MarcichDEF
13José CanaleDEF
35Ronaldo de Jesus LopezDEF
19Yoshan ValoisFWD
26Nahuel LosadaGK
5Felipe Peña BiaforeMID
17Agustín MedinaMID
16Matías SepúlvedaMID
8Franco WatsonMID
77Lucas BesozziMID
Substitutes
2Luciano RomeroDEF
4Gonzalo PerezDEF
27Facundo SánchezDEF
3Nicolás MorgantiniDEF
20Bruno CabreraFWD
37Thomas de MartisFWD
25Dylan AquinoFWD
1Franco PetroliGK
10Marcelino MorenoMID
39Thiago LaplaceMID
11Eduardo SalvioMID
23Ramiro CarreraMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersGimnasia M.
No reported absences
Lanus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.37 (66.8%)
BTTS No1.56 (58.9%)
Value Bets
Gimnasia M. Win3.32 (31.8%)
Draw2.82 (27.3%)
Lanus Win2.42 (40.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.96 (33.2%)
Both Teams Score2.28 (41.1%)
