Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Gimnasia L.P.
#21 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WWWLL
1 - 0
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Referee: L. Lobo Medina
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
#30 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LDDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 58.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Gimnasia L.P. will face Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Gimnasia L.P. has a 51.3% probability of winning this match. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has a 15% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 33.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Gimnasia L.P. have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Gimnasia L.P. sit 21th in the table, 9 places above their opponents
- Both teams average a combined 1.6 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Gimnasia L.P.51.3%1.86
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.563.9%1.50
Both Teams to Score
No58.9%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.17
19.4%
1-1
6.05
16.6%
0-0
6.44
15.7%
2-0
7.24
13.9%
2-1
8.70
11.6%
0-1
9.38
10.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.86 | Draw 3.06 | Away 4.91 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.48 | Under 1.50 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.48 | Under 2.57 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.88 | Under 1.16 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.17 | No 1.61 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.16 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals85.8%
Over 1.5 Goals63.4%
Over 2.5 Goals36.1%
Over 3.5 Goals19.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 21 | Gimnasia L.P. | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 106 | WWLLL | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonGimnasia L.P.Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1.31Goals p.g.0.27
1.25Goals conceded p.g.1.27
25%Clean sheets27%
44%Win rate7%
2.56Avg goals in match1.53
Recent Results
Gimnasia L.P.LAST MATCHES
22 AprAcassuso0–3Gimnasia L.P.Copa Argentina
18 AprGimnasia L.P.1–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
10 AprGimnasia L.P.4–1Deportivo CamionerosCopa Argentina
05 AprGimnasia L.P.0–3HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
21 MarAtletico Tucuman1–0Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
15 MarGimnasia L.P.2–3Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
7Win44%
2Draw13%
7Lost44%
LAST MATCHESEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
18 AprGimnasia L.P.1–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
07 AprEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–0San Martin TucumanCopa Argentina
04 AprAldosivi0–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
22 MarEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–2River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
16 MarRacing Club2–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
12 MarEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–1Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
1Win7%
4Draw27%
10Lost67%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGimnasia L.P.
No reported absences
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.50 (63.9%)
BTTS No1.61 (58.9%)
Value Bets
Gimnasia L.P. Win1.86 (51.3%)
Draw3.06 (33.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.48 (36.1%)
Both Teams Score2.17 (41.1%)
Speculative
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win4.91 (15%)
