GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
#6 · Primeira Liga
LDWLD
0 - 1
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Referee: J. Goncalves
Guimaraes
#7 · Primeira Liga
WDWLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.95
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.85 (implied 54.0%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.6% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.83. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , GIL Vicente will face Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that GIL Vicente has a 45.4% probability of winning this match. Guimaraes has a 30.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.1%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — GIL Vicente45.4%2.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550.6%2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%1.85
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.85
17.1%
1-0
6.36
15.7%
0-0
8.19
12.2%
2-1
8.32
12.1%
0-1
9.01
11.2%
2-0
8.99
11.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.08 | Draw 3.21 | Away 3.64 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.11 | Under 1.71 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.34 | Under 3.04 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.75 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.85 | No 1.86 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.26 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.71 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.6%
Over 1.5 Goals69.4%
Over 2.5 Goals50.6%
Over 3.5 Goals24.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61 | 14 | 47 | 79 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 30 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 72 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 71 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 56 | WDWWL |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 48 | DDDWW |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 46 | LDWLD |
| 7 | Guimaraes | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 39 | WDWLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 26 | LDLDL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 13 | DDLDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGIL VicenteGuimaraes
1.67Goals p.g.1.47
1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.53
13%Clean sheets20%
33%Win rate40%
3.13Avg goals in match3
Recent Results
GIL VicenteLAST MATCHES
18 AprGIL Vicente0–1GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
13 AprTondela2–2GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
03 AprGIL Vicente3–0AVSPrimeira Liga
21 MarSanta Clara1–0GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
14 MarGIL Vicente2–2AlvercaPrimeira Liga
08 MarEstrela2–2GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
5Win33%
5Draw33%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESGuimaraes
18 AprGIL Vicente0–1GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
11 AprAVS1–1GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
03 AprGuimaraes5–0TondelaPrimeira Liga
21 MarBenfica3–0GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
14 MarGuimaraes1–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
08 MarSanta Clara2–0GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
6Win40%
2Draw13%
7Lost47%
Lineups
ConfirmedGIL Vicente4-2-3-1Confirmed
2Zé CarlosDEF
3Ghislain KonanDEF
39Jonathan BuatuDEF
48Antonio EspigaresDEF
89Gustavo VarelaFWD
99Daniel FigueiraGK
10Luís EstevesMID
77Murilo SouzaMID
95Santi GarcíaMID
27Agustín MoreiraMID
5Facundo CáseresMID
Substitutes
20Hevertton SantosDEF
45Jonathan MutomboDEF
11Joelson FernandesFWD
29Carlos EduardoFWD
23Hector HernandezFWD
30LucãoGK
80Rodrigo RodriguesMID
6Zé CarlosMID
32Martin FernándezMID
Guimaraes4-2-3-1Confirmed
4Óscar RivasDEF
13João MendesDEF
28Thiago BalieiroDEF
2Miguel MagaDEF
11Gustavo SilvaFWD
27CharlesGK
16Beni MukendiMID
48Noah SavioloMID
20SamuMID
88Miguel NogueiraMID
23Diogo SousaMID
Substitutes
26Rodrigo AbascalDEF
66Tony StrataDEF
17Orest LebedenkoDEF
7Nélson OliveiraFWD
19Oumar CamaraFWD
22Fabio BlancoFWD
25Juan CastilloGK
30Gonçalo NogueiraMID
18Telmo ArcanjoMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersGIL Vicente
No reported absences
Guimaraes
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
GIL Vicente Win2.08 (45.4%)
Guimaraes Win3.64 (30.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.11 (50.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.71 (49.4%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (54.6%)
BTTS No1.86 (45.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.21 (24.1%)
