Getafe vs Barcelona

Getafe
#6 · La Liga
WWLWW
0 - 2
Coliseum, Getafe
Referee: F. Maeso

Barcelona
#1 · La Liga
LWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.91
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.85 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 51.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Getafe will face Barcelona in the La Liga at Coliseum.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Getafe has a 29.2% probability of winning this match. Barcelona has a 49% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Getafe are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Barcelona are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Barcelona average 2.4 goals per game
- Getafe boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Barcelona49%1.68
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.3%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%1.85
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
6.50
15.4%
1-1
6.84
14.6%
0-2
7.39
13.6%
1-2
7.61
13.2%
0-0
10.42
9.7%
0-3
11.98
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 5.08 | Draw 3.81 | Away 1.68 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.91 | Under 1.90 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.55 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.22 | Under 1.32 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.85 | No 1.89 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.19 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.17 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals73.6%
Over 2.5 Goals49.7%
Over 3.5 Goals29.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW | |
| 3 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD | |
| 4 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW | |
| 5 | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL | |
| 6 | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL | |
| 18 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD | |
| 19 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD | |
| 20 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGetafeBarcelona
1.08Goals p.g.2.4
0.69Goals conceded p.g.1.13
38%Clean sheets33%
46%Win rate73%
1.77Avg goals in match3.53
Recent Results
GetafeLAST MATCHES
05 AprGetafe2–0Athletic ClubLa Liga
21 MarEspanyol1–2GetafeLa Liga
14 MarAtletico Madrid1–0GetafeLa Liga
08 MarGetafe2–0Real BetisLa Liga
02 MarReal Madrid0–1GetafeLa Liga
22 FebGetafe0–1SevillaLa Liga
6Win46%
3Draw23%
4Lost31%
LAST MATCHESBarcelona
08 AprBarcelona0–2Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
04 AprAtletico Madrid1–2BarcelonaLa Liga
22 MarBarcelona1–0Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
18 MarBarcelona7–2NewcastleUEFA Champions League
15 MarBarcelona5–2SevillaLa Liga
10 MarNewcastle1–1BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
11Win73%
1Draw7%
3Lost20%
Lineups
Confirmed
Getafe5-4-1Confirmed
21Juan IglesiasDEF
26DavinchiDEF
2Djene DakonamDEF
22Domingos DuarteDEF
15Sebastián BoselliDEF
10Martín SatrianoFWD
13David SoriaGK
6Mario MartínMID
5Luis MillaMID
20Veljko BirmančevićMID
8Mauro ArambarriMID
Substitutes
17Kiko FemeníaDEF
3Abdelkabir AbqarDEF
41Jorge MontesDEF
12Allan NyomDEF
16Diego RicoDEF
19Luis VázquezFWD
18Álex SancrisFWD
23Adrian LisoFWD
11Abu KamaraFWD
1Jiří LetáčekGK
44Adrián RiquelmeMID
14Javi MunozMID
Barcelona4-3-3Confirmed
23Jules KoundéDEF
2Joao CanceloDEF
18Gerard MartínDEF
5Pau CubarsíDEF
9Robert LewandowskiFWD
16Fermín LópezFWD
19Roony BardghjiFWD
13Joan GarcíaGK
6Pablo GaviMID
20Dani OlmoMID
8PedriMID
Substitutes
3Alejandro BaldeDEF
4Ronald AraújoDEF
42Xavi EspartDEF
36Álvaro CortésDEF
7Ferran TorresFWD
14Marcus RashfordFWD
33Eder AllerGK
25Wojciech SzczęsnyGK
21Frenkie de JongMID
17Marc CasadóMID
43Tomás MarquésMID
Unavailable Players
10 players
Getafe4
B. Mayoral
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Juanmi
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Martin
QuestionableInjury
Z. Romero
Missing FixtureRed Card
Barcelona6
A. Christensen
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
E. Garcia
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
J. Cancelo
QuestionableInjury
Lamine Yamal
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
M. Bernal
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Raphinha
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Getafe Win5.08 (29.2%)
Barcelona Win1.68 (49%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.91 (49.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.90 (50.3%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (51.3%)
BTTS No1.89 (48.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.81 (21.8%)








