Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
#15 · Süper Lig
LLLLL
1 - 0
Eryaman Stadium, Ankara
Referee: M. Turkmen
Kocaelispor
#11 · Süper Lig
DDLLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 60.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Gençlerbirliği S.K. will face Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig at Eryaman Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Gençlerbirliği S.K. has a 35.4% probability of winning this match. Kocaelispor has a 39.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.6 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Kocaelispor39.2%3.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.560.1%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No53.1%1.80
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.64
17.8%
1-0
6.49
15.4%
0-1
7.33
13.7%
0-0
7.33
13.7%
2-1
9.06
11.1%
1-2
10.26
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.39 | Draw 3.10 | Away 3.00 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.29 | Under 1.61 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.41 | Under 2.77 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.23 | Under 1.20 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.91 | No 1.80 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.37 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87.3%
Over 1.5 Goals66.3%
Over 2.5 Goals39.9%
Over 3.5 Goals22.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 71 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 67 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 55 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 48 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 48 | DDLWD |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 36 | DDDLL |
| 15 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 25 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 25 | WLLLL |
| 17 |  Kayserispor | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 57 | -36 | 23 | LLLWL |
| 18 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 20 | LLWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGençlerbirliği S.K.Kocaelispor
0.87Goals p.g.0.71
1.53Goals conceded p.g.1.29
13%Clean sheets29%
13%Win rate21%
2.4Avg goals in match2
Recent Results
Gençlerbirliği S.K.LAST MATCHES
18 AprGençlerbirliği S.K.1–2GalatasaraySüper Lig
11 AprBaşakşehir3–0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
04 AprGençlerbirliği S.K.0–2GöztepeSüper Lig
19 MarKonyaspor1–0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
15 MarGençlerbirliği S.K.0–2BeşiktaşSüper Lig
09 MarAlanyaspor0–0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2Win13%
5Draw33%
8Lost53%
LAST MATCHESKocaelispor
18 AprKocaelispor1–1GöztepeSüper Lig
06 AprKocaelispor0–0BaşakşehirSüper Lig
18 MarAlanyaspor5–0KocaelisporSüper Lig
14 MarKocaelispor1–2KonyasporSüper Lig
09 MarEyüpspor0–1KocaelisporSüper Lig
04 MarBeyoğlu Yeni Çarşı1–0KocaelisporTürkiye Kupası
3Win21%
4Draw29%
7Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
12 playersGençlerbirliği S.K.6
A. Sahindere
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
H. Onyekuru
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Kyabou
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
P. Etebo
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
S. Onur
QuestionableInjury
Z. Zuzek
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Kocaelispor6
A. Jovanovic
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
B. Balogh
QuestionableInactive
B. Petkovic
QuestionableInactive
M. Cinan
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Wieteska
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Show
Missing FixtureRed Card
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.61 (60.1%)
Value Bets
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win2.39 (35.4%)
Draw3.10 (25.4%)
Kocaelispor Win3.00 (39.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.29 (39.9%)
Both Teams Score1.91 (46.9%)
BTTS No1.80 (53.1%)
