Fulham vs Aston Villa
Fulham
#12 · Premier League
DWDLL
1 - 0
Craven Cottage, London
Referee: M. Oliver
Aston Villa
#4 · Premier League
WDWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Fulham will face Aston Villa in the Premier League at Craven Cottage.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Fulham has a 38.7% probability of winning this match. Aston Villa has a 38% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Aston Villa sit 4th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Fulham38.7%2.58
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.551.9%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.46
15.5%
2-1
9.16
11%
1-2
9.25
10.9%
1-0
9.52
10.6%
0-1
9.78
10.3%
2-2
11.44
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.58 | Draw 3.49 | Away 2.62 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.74 | Under 2.11 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.23 | Under 4.01 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.78 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.57 | No 2.29 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.46 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals76.5%
Over 2.5 Goals51.9%
Over 3.5 Goals33.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 29 | 37 | 70 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 70 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 58 | WLDWL |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 58 | WDWLL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 | WWLDL |
| 6 |  Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 12 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 | DLWDL |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 31 | DLLDL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 68 | -34 | 20 | LLLLD |
| 20 |  Wolves | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 61 | -37 | 17 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFulhamAston Villa
1.15Goals p.g.1.44
1.23Goals conceded p.g.1.33
15%Clean sheets33%
38%Win rate50%
2.38Avg goals in match2.78
Recent Results
FulhamLAST MATCHES
18 AprBrentford0–0FulhamPremier League
21 MarFulham3–1BurnleyPremier League
15 MarNottingham Forest0–0FulhamPremier League
08 MarFulham0–1SouthamptonFA Cup
04 MarFulham0–1West HamPremier League
01 MarFulham2–1TottenhamPremier League
5Win38%
2Draw15%
6Lost46%
LAST MATCHESAston Villa
19 AprAston Villa4–3SunderlandPremier League
12 AprNottingham Forest1–1Aston VillaPremier League
09 AprBologna1–3Aston VillaUEFA Europa League
27 MarAston Villa1–2ElcheFriendlies Clubs
22 MarAston Villa2–0West HamPremier League
19 MarAston Villa2–0LilleUEFA Europa League
9Win50%
3Draw17%
6Lost33%
Lineups
ConfirmedFulham4-2-3-1Confirmed
30Ryan SessegnonDEF
21Timothy CastagneDEF
5Joachim AndersenDEF
3Calvin BasseyDEF
7Raul JimenezFWD
1Bernd LenoGK
19Samuel ChukwuezeMID
32Emile Smith RoweMID
8Harry WilsonMID
16Sander BergeMID
20Sasa LukicMID
Substitutes
31Issa DiopDEF
33Antonee RobinsonDEF
9Rodrigo MunizFWD
18Jonah Kusi-AsareFWD
23Benjamin LecomteGK
6Harrison ReedMID
24Joshua KingMID
14Oscar BobbMID
10Tom CairneyMID
Aston Villa4-2-3-1Confirmed
2Matty CashDEF
4Ezri KonsaDEF
14Pau TorresDEF
12Lucas DigneDEF
11Ollie WatkinsFWD
23Emiliano MartinezGK
26Lamare BogardeMID
8Youri TielemansMID
24Amadou OnanaMID
10Emiliano BuendíaMID
27Morgan RogersMID
7John McGinnMID
Substitutes
5Tyrone MingsDEF
3Victor LindelofDEF
22Ian MaatsenDEF
19Jadon SanchoFWD
31Leon BaileyFWD
18Tammy AbrahamFWD
40Marco BizotGK
6Ross BarkleyMID
21Douglas LuizMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersFulham3
A. Iwobi
QuestionableInjury
K. Tete
QuestionableFoot Injury
Kevin
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
Aston Villa3
Alysson
QuestionableInjury
B. Kamara
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
T. Abraham
QuestionableShoulder Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.57 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Fulham Win2.58 (38.7%)
Aston Villa Win2.62 (38%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.74 (51.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.11 (48.1%)
BTTS No2.29 (43.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.49 (23.2%)
