Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
#3 · Serie A
WLLDD
0 - 0
Chapecoense-sc
#20 · Serie A
LLDLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 55.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Fluminense will face Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Fluminense has a 71.9% probability of winning this match. Chapecoense-sc has a 10.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Fluminense sit 3rd in the table, 17 places above their opponents
- Fluminense have kept clean sheets in 42% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Fluminense71.9%1.28
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.4%2.18
Both Teams to Score
No55.5%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
5.84
17.2%
1-0
6.31
15.9%
3-0
7.57
13.3%
2-1
7.98
12.6%
1-1
9.43
10.7%
3-1
10.53
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.28 | Draw 5.23 | Away 10.54 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.67 | Under 2.18 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.32 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.67 | Under 1.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.07 | No 1.69 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.04 | 12 1.14 | X2 3.49 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.2%
Over 1.5 Goals78.3%
Over 2.5 Goals49.6%
Over 3.5 Goals34.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 29 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 | WWWLD |
| 3 | Fluminense | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 4 |  Sao Paulo | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 20 | LLWDL |
| 5 |  Bahia | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | LWLWL |
| 6 |  Atletico Paranaense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 19 | LWLLW |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | LDDLW |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFluminenseChapecoense-sc
1.42Goals p.g.0.82
0.95Goals conceded p.g.1.32
42%Clean sheets23%
53%Win rate23%
2.37Avg goals in match2.14
Recent Results
FluminenseLAST MATCHES
19 AprSantos2–3FluminenseSerie A
16 AprFluminense1–2Independ. RivadaviaCONMEBOL Libertadores
12 AprFluminense1–2FlamengoSerie A
07 AprDeportivo La Guaira0–0FluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores
04 AprCoritiba1–1FluminenseSerie A
02 AprFluminense3–1CorinthiansSerie A
10Win53%
5Draw26%
4Lost21%
LAST MATCHESChapecoense-sc
21 AprBotafogo1–0Chapecoense-scCopa Do Brasil
18 AprChapecoense-sc1–4BotafogoSerie A
16 AprJuventude0–0Chapecoense-scCopa Sul-Sudeste
12 AprAtletico Paranaense2–0Chapecoense-scSerie A
08 AprChapecoense-sc2–1AvaiCopa Sul-Sudeste
05 AprChapecoense-sc1–1VitoriaSerie A
5Win23%
7Draw32%
9Lost41%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFluminense
No reported absences
Chapecoense-sc
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Fluminense Win1.28 (71.9%)
BTTS No1.69 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (49.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.18 (50.4%)
Both Teams Score2.07 (44.5%)
Speculative
Draw5.23 (17.9%)
Chapecoense-sc Win10.54 (10.2%)
