FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus
FC Nordsjaelland
#6 · Superliga
WDWWW
1 - 1
Right to Dream Park, Farum
Referee: M. Krogh
Aarhus
#1 · Superliga
LDWDD
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 59.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Nordsjaelland will face Aarhus in the Superliga at Right to Dream Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Nordsjaelland has a 39.9% probability of winning this match. Aarhus has a 38.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Nordsjaelland are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- With a combined average of 3.5 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — FC Nordsjaelland39.9%2.89
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.5%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.45
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.10
14.2%
1-2
8.46
11.9%
2-1
9.94
10.1%
2-2
10.36
9.7%
0-1
10.76
9.4%
1-0
12.46
8.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.89 | Draw 3.67 | Away 2.21 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.53 | Under 2.41 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 5.04 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.32 | Under 1.58 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.45 | No 2.55 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.63 | 12 1.26 | X2 1.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.1%
Over 1.5 Goals81.4%
Over 2.5 Goals59.5%
Over 3.5 Goals40.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aarhus | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 | DLDWD |
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Odense | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 37 | LWLWD |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 46 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Sonderjyske | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 | LLLDL |
| 3 |  Randers FC | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 | DLLDL |
| 5 |  Silkeborg | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 | WDWLW |
| 6 | FC Nordsjaelland | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 31 | DWDWW |
| 6 |  Vejle | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 18 | LLDDD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC NordsjaellandAarhus
1.6Goals p.g.1.93
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.13
27%Clean sheets13%
60%Win rate53%
2.87Avg goals in match3.07
Recent Results
FC NordsjaellandLAST MATCHES
19 AprFC Nordsjaelland2–1ViborgSuperliga
10 AprAarhus1–1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
07 AprFC Nordsjaelland2–1BrondbySuperliga
22 MarFC Nordsjaelland2–0SonderjyskeSuperliga
15 MarFC Midtjylland0–1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
01 MarViborg2–1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESAarhus
20 AprFC Midtjylland2–1AarhusSuperliga
10 AprAarhus1–1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
06 AprViborg1–2AarhusSuperliga
22 MarAarhus0–0BrondbySuperliga
15 MarSonderjyske1–1AarhusSuperliga
08 MarFC Midtjylland1–1AarhusDBU Pokalen
8Win53%
5Draw33%
2Lost13%
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Nordsjaelland3-4-2-1Confirmed
3Tobias SalquistDEF
45Noah MarkmannDEF
36Caleb YirenkyiDEF
10Prince Amoako JuniorFWD
14Ibrahim AdelFWD
37Lamine SadioFWD
13Andreas HansenGK
18Justin JanssenMID
23Runar NorheimMID
25Juho LähteenmäkiMID
6Mark BrinkMID
Substitutes
15Stephen AcquahDEF
35Villads RutkjærDEF
32Victor GustafsenDEF
17Levy NeneFWD
39Daniel Ingi JóhannessonFWD
40Hjalte Boe RasmussenFWD
22Andreas GülstorffGK
29Villum BerthelsenMID
47Malte HeydeMID
Aarhus3-4-2-1Confirmed
3Henrik DalsgaardDEF
2Felix BeijmoDEF
19Eric KahlDEF
31Tobias BechFWD
10Kristian ArnstadFWD
9Patrick MortensenFWD
1Jesper HansenGK
11Gift LinksMID
39Frederik EmmeryMID
8Sebastian JørgensenMID
4Magnus KnudsenMID
Substitutes
26Jacob AndersenDEF
5Frederik TingagerDEF
40Jonas Jensen-AbbewDEF
57James BogereFWD
20Tómas Óli KristjánssonFWD
13Janni SerraFWD
21Mads HedenstadGK
17Kevin YakobMID
55Oskar HaugstrupMID
Unavailable Players
12 playersFC Nordsjaelland8
A. Lind
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
A. Mohammed
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Busk
Missing FixtureBroken Leg
J. Lahteenmaki
QuestionableInjury
N. Rojkjaer
Missing FixtureInjury
O. Solbakken
Missing FixtureInjury
P. Ankersen
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
S. Alio
Missing FixtureInjury
Aarhus4
M. Solbakken
Missing FixtureInactive
N. Poulsen
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
R. Carstensen
Missing FixtureInactive
S. Tchamche
Missing FixtureInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.53 (59.5%)
Both Teams Score1.45 (62%)
Value Bets
FC Nordsjaelland Win2.89 (39.9%)
Aarhus Win2.21 (38.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.41 (40.5%)
BTTS No2.55 (38%)
Speculative
Draw3.67 (21.9%)
