FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
#2 · Superliga
WDDLL
2 - 1
MCH Arena, Herning
Referee: S. Putros
Aarhus
#1 · Superliga
LDWDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Midtjylland will face Aarhus in the Superliga at MCH Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Midtjylland has a 47.8% probability of winning this match. Aarhus has a 29.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.1%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — FC Midtjylland47.8%1.99
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.5%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.29
16%
1-0
7.49
13.4%
2-1
8.07
12.5%
2-0
9.64
10.4%
0-0
10.02
10.1%
0-1
10.58
9.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.99 | Draw 3.40 | Away 3.64 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.83 | Under 1.96 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.71 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.00 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.67 | No 2.10 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.26 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.77 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals74.8%
Over 2.5 Goals53.5%
Over 3.5 Goals31.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aarhus | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 | DLDWD |
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Odense | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 37 | LWLWD |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 46 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Sonderjyske | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 | LLLDL |
| 3 |  Randers FC | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 | DLLDL |
| 5 |  Silkeborg | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 31 | DWDWW |
| 6 |  Vejle | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 18 | LLDDD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC MidtjyllandAarhus
1.56Goals p.g.1.93
1.25Goals conceded p.g.1.13
31%Clean sheets13%
44%Win rate53%
2.81Avg goals in match3.07
Recent Results
FC MidtjyllandLAST MATCHES
20 AprFC Midtjylland2–1AarhusSuperliga
04 AprFC Midtjylland2–2SonderjyskeSuperliga
22 MarViborg1–1FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
19 MarFC Midtjylland1–2Nottingham ForestUEFA Europa League
15 MarFC Midtjylland0–1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
12 MarNottingham Forest0–1FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa League
7Win44%
5Draw31%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESAarhus
20 AprFC Midtjylland2–1AarhusSuperliga
10 AprAarhus1–1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
06 AprViborg1–2AarhusSuperliga
22 MarAarhus0–0BrondbySuperliga
15 MarSonderjyske1–1AarhusSuperliga
08 MarFC Midtjylland1–1AarhusDBU Pokalen
8Win53%
5Draw33%
2Lost13%
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Midtjylland3-4-2-1Confirmed
3Han-Beom LeeDEF
22Mads Bech SørensenDEF
6Martin ErlićDEF
41Mikel GogorzaFWD
10Gue-sung ChoFWD
58Aral ŞimşirFWD
16Elías ÓlafssonGK
20Valdemar ByskovMID
55Victor Bak JensenMID
21Denil CastilloMID
11Darío OsorioMID
Substitutes
35Bilal KontehDEF
13Adam GabrielDEF
34Abdou Aziz NdiayeDEF
29PaulinhoDEF
14Edward ChilufyaFWD
7Franculino DjúFWD
38Julius EmefileFWD
1Jonas LösslGK
39Junior ZéMID
Aarhus3-4-2-1Confirmed
3Henrik DalsgaardDEF
19Eric KahlDEF
2Felix BeijmoDEF
10Kristian ArnstadFWD
31Tobias BechFWD
13Janni SerraFWD
1Jesper HansenGK
4Magnus KnudsenMID
11Gift LinksMID
26Jacob AndersenMID
17Kevin YakobMID
Substitutes
5Frederik TingagerDEF
40Jonas Jensen-AbbewDEF
57James BogereFWD
39Frederik EmmeryFWD
9Patrick MortensenFWD
20Tómas Óli KristjánssonFWD
21Mads HedenstadGK
6Nicolai PoulsenMID
8Sebastian JørgensenMID
Unavailable Players
12 playersFC Midtjylland8
A. Djabi
Missing FixtureHealth problems
E. Chilufya
Missing FixtureInactive
Junior Brumado
Missing FixtureRibs Injury
K. Mbabu
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
M. Uhre
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
O. Diao
Missing FixtureRed Card
P. Billing
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
P. Bravo
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Aarhus4
M. Solbakken
Missing FixtureInactive
N. Poulsen
Missing FixtureInactive
R. Carstensen
Missing FixtureInactive
S. Tchamche
Missing FixtureInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.67 (57%)
Value Bets
FC Midtjylland Win1.99 (47.8%)
Aarhus Win3.64 (29.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.83 (53.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.96 (46.5%)
BTTS No2.10 (43%)
Speculative
Draw3.40 (23.1%)
