FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
#7 · Major League Soccer
DWWDL
0 - 1
Toyota Stadium, Frisco
Referee: Allen Chapman, USA
Minnesota United FC
#6 · Major League Soccer
WDWDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.55
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Dallas will face Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer at Toyota Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Dallas has a 49.7% probability of winning this match. Minnesota United FC has a 28.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Dallas average 2.3 goals per game
- FC Dallas have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches
- Minnesota United FC have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — FC Dallas49.7%2.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.4%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.7%1.52
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.83
14.7%
2-1
8.06
12.5%
1-0
9.22
10.9%
1-2
10.48
9.7%
2-2
10.86
9.4%
2-0
10.73
9.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.01 | Draw 3.70 | Away 3.31 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.61 | Under 2.28 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.18 | Under 4.67 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.48 | Under 1.51 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.52 | No 2.38 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.30 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.76 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.4%
Over 1.5 Goals79.8%
Over 2.5 Goals58.4%
Over 3.5 Goals37.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Minnesota United FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 13 | DDWWD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFC DallasMinnesota United FC
2.29Goals p.g.1.13
1.14Goals conceded p.g.1.47
43%Clean sheets47%
50%Win rate27%
3.43Avg goals in match2.6
Recent Results
FC DallasLAST MATCHES
19 AprFC Dallas2–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
04 AprDC United0–4FC DallasMajor League Soccer
22 MarFC Dallas4–3Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
15 MarFC Dallas3–3San DiegoMajor League Soccer
08 MarLos Angeles FC1–0FC DallasMajor League Soccer
01 MarFC Dallas0–0Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
7Win50%
5Draw36%
2Lost14%
LAST MATCHESMinnesota United FC
19 AprMinnesota United FC2–0Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
15 AprSacramento Republic0–0Minnesota United FCUS Open Cup
05 AprLos Angeles Galaxy1–2Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
22 MarMinnesota United FC0–0Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
15 MarVancouver Whitecaps6–0Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
08 MarNashville SC3–1Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
6Draw40%
5Lost33%
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Dallas3-4-1-2Confirmed
25Sebastien IbeaghaDEF
32Nolan NorrisDEF
3Osaze UrhoghideDEF
9Petar MusaFWD
10Santiago MorenoFWD
21Joaquín ValienteFWD
1Michael CollodiGK
18Shaq MooreMID
12Christian CappisMID
55KaickMID
14Herman JohanssonMID
Substitutes
5Lalas AbubakarDEF
23Logan FarringtonFWD
28Sam SarverFWD
7Louicius Don DeedsonFWD
16Nicholas SimmondsFWD
40Jonathan SiroisGK
8Patrickson DelgadoMID
6Ran BinyaminMID
17RamiroMID
Minnesota United FC3-4-2-1Confirmed
23Morris DugganDEF
5Nicolás RomeroDEF
28Jefferson DíazDEF
26Joaquín PereyraFWD
9Kelvin YeboahFWD
8Tomás ChancalayFWD
12Drake CallenderGK
3Kyle DuncanMID
25Nectarios TriantisMID
30Owen GeneMID
13Anthony MarkanichMID
Substitutes
33Kieran ChandlerDEF
27D.J. TaylorDEF
2Devin PadelfordDEF
21Bongokuhle HlongwaneFWD
29Mamadou DiengFWD
18Mauricio GonzálezFWD
1Alec SmirGK
10James RodriguezMID
20Wil TrappMID
Unavailable Players
10 playersFC Dallas6
A. A. Julio Santos
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
B. Kamungo
Missing FixtureInjury
E. Newman
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Geovane Jesus
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
H. Johansson
QuestionableInjury
Ramiro
QuestionableInjury
Minnesota United FC4
C. Harvey
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
J. Gressel
Missing FixtureToe Injury
M. Boxall
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
P. Stroud
Missing FixtureLower-Body Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.61 (58.4%)
Both Teams Score1.52 (59.7%)
Value Bets
FC Dallas Win2.01 (49.7%)
Minnesota United FC Win3.31 (28.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.28 (41.6%)
BTTS No2.38 (40.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.70 (21.6%)
