FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Dallas
#7 · Major League Soccer
DWWDL
2 - 2
Toyota Stadium
Referee: M. De Oliveira
Los Angeles Galaxy
#11 · Major League Soccer
?DLWL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 61.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Dallas will face Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer at Toyota Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Dallas has a 51.7% probability of winning this match. Los Angeles Galaxy has a 26.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Dallas average 2.3 goals per game
- FC Dallas have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches
- With a combined average of 3.9 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — FC Dallas51.7%2.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.3%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes63.1%1.48
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.90
14.5%
2-1
8.16
12.4%
1-0
9.92
10.1%
2-2
10.31
9.9%
1-2
10.38
9.8%
2-0
11.57
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.08 | Draw 3.56 | Away 3.25 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.56 | Under 2.36 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.17 | Under 4.93 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.36 | Under 1.56 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.48 | No 2.52 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.32 | 12 1.26 | X2 1.71 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.7%
Over 1.5 Goals80.9%
Over 2.5 Goals61.3%
Over 3.5 Goals39.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 13 | DDWWD |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | DWLDL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
2.29Goals p.g.1.63
1.14Goals conceded p.g.1.42
43%Clean sheets32%
50%Win rate32%
3.43Avg goals in match3.05
Recent Results
FC DallasLAST MATCHES
19 AprFC Dallas2–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
04 AprDC United0–4FC DallasMajor League Soccer
22 MarFC Dallas4–3Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
15 MarFC Dallas3–3San DiegoMajor League Soccer
08 MarLos Angeles FC1–0FC DallasMajor League Soccer
01 MarFC Dallas0–0Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
7Win50%
5Draw36%
2Lost14%
LAST MATCHESLos Angeles Galaxy
22 AprColumbus Crew–Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
19 AprFC Dallas2–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
16 AprLos Angeles Galaxy0–3TolucaCONCACAF Champions League
11 AprAustin1–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
09 AprToluca4–2Los Angeles GalaxyCONCACAF Champions League
05 AprLos Angeles Galaxy1–2Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
6Win32%
6Draw32%
6Lost32%
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Dallas3-4-1-2Confirmed
25Sebastien IbeaghaDEF
18Shaq MooreDEF
3Osaze UrhoghideDEF
21Joaquín ValienteFWD
23Logan FarringtonFWD
9Petar MusaFWD
30Michael CollodiGK
14Herman JohanssonMID
7Louicius Don DeedsonMID
12Christian CappisMID
55KaickMID
Substitutes
5Lalas AbubakarDEF
32Nolan NorrisDEF
10Santiago MorenoFWD
16Nicholas SimmondsFWD
28Sam SarverFWD
40Jonathan SiroisGK
27Caleb SwannMID
8Patrickson DelgadoMID
6Ran BinyaminMID
Los Angeles Galaxy4-3-3Confirmed
19Mauricio CuevasDEF
14John NelsonDEF
4Maya YoshidaDEF
25Carlos GarcésDEF
11Gabriel PecFWD
28Joseph PaintsilFWD
99João KlaussFWD
12James MarcinkowskiGK
8Lucas SanabriaMID
6Edwin CerrilloMID
15Justin HaakMID
Substitutes
3Julián AudeDEF
26Harbor MillerDEF
20Chris RindovDEF
2Miki YamaneDEF
24Ruben RamosFWD
1Novak MićovićGK
18Marco ReusMID
22Elijah WynderMID
16Isaiah ParenteMID
Unavailable Players
9 playersFC Dallas5
A. A. Julio Santos
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
B. Kamungo
Missing FixtureInjury
E. Newman
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Geovane Jesus
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Ramiro
Missing FixtureInjury
Los Angeles Galaxy4
E. Thommy
Missing FixtureInjury
J. Glesnes
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
Matheus Nascimento
Missing FixtureInjury
R. Puig
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (61.3%)
Both Teams Score1.48 (63.1%)
Value Bets
FC Dallas Win2.08 (51.7%)
Los Angeles Galaxy Win3.25 (26.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.36 (38.7%)
BTTS No2.52 (36.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.56 (22.2%)
