Fatih Karagümrük vs Eyüpspor

Süper LigRegular Season - 30

Fatih Karagümrük

#18 · Süper Lig

LLWLW

1 - 2

Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul

Referee: Cihan Aydin, Türkiye

Eyüpspor

#16 · Süper Lig

WLLLL

47.7%

Home Win

23.5%

Draw

28.8%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Under 2.5 Goals

Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.

Totals

1.80

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 53.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Fatih Karagümrük will face Eyüpspor in the Süper Lig at Ataturk Olimpiyat.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Fatih Karagümrük has a 47.7% probability of winning this match. Eyüpspor has a 28.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Both teams average a combined 2.0 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Fatih Karagümrük47.7%1.84

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.553.1%1.76

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Yes51.3%1.83

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

6.19

16.2%

1-0

6.23

16.1%

2-1

7.83

12.8%

2-0

8.10

12.4%

0-0

8.65

11.6%

0-1

9.99

10.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 1.84	Draw 3.38	Away 4.21
O/U 2.5	Over 2.04	Under 1.76
O/U 1.5	Over 1.32	Under 3.17
O/U 3.5	Over 3.57	Under 1.26
BTTS	Yes 1.83	No 1.87
Double Chance	1X 1.20	12 1.28	X2 1.91

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

89.1%

Over 1.5 Goals

70.6%

Over 2.5 Goals

46.9%

Over 3.5 Goals

26.1%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Galatasaray	30	22	5	3	69	23	46	71	WDWLW
2	Fenerbahçe	30	19	10	1	68	30	38	67	DWWWL
3	Trabzonspor	30	19	8	3	57	32	25	65	DDWWW
4	Beşiktaş	30	16	7	7	54	36	18	55	LWLWW
5	Başakşehir	30	13	9	8	48	31	17	48	DWDDL
6	Göztepe	30	12	12	6	37	27	10	48	DDLWD
16	Eyüpspor	30	6	7	17	22	44	-22	25	WLLLL
17	Kayserispor	30	4	11	15	21	57	-36	23	LLLWL
18	Fatih Karagümrük	30	5	5	20	27	53	-26	20	LLWLW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

Fatih KaragümrükEyüpspor

1.07Goals p.g.0.93

1.67Goals conceded p.g.1.5

27%Clean sheets14%

27%Win rate21%

2.73Avg goals in match2.43

Recent Results

Fatih KaragümrükLAST MATCHES

18 AprFatih Karagümrük1–2EyüpsporSüper Lig

12 AprKonyaspor3–0Fatih KaragümrükSüper Lig

05 AprFatih Karagümrük2–1RizesporSüper Lig

19 MarKayserispor1–0Fatih KaragümrükSüper Lig

13 MarFatih Karagümrük2–0FenerbahçeSüper Lig

08 MarGaziantep FK1–1Fatih KaragümrükSüper Lig

4Win27%

2Draw13%

9Lost60%

LAST MATCHESEyüpspor

18 AprFatih Karagümrük1–2EyüpsporSüper Lig

05 AprAntalyaspor3–0EyüpsporSüper Lig

18 MarEyüpspor0–1TrabzonsporSüper Lig

15 MarKasımpaşa1–0EyüpsporSüper Lig

09 MarEyüpspor0–1KocaelisporSüper Lig

05 MarEyüpspor0–1KonyasporTürkiye Kupası

3Win21%

4Draw29%

7Lost50%

Lineups

Confirmed

Fatih Karagümrük4-4-2Confirmed

3Igor LichnovskyDEF

47Ricardo EsgaioDEF

4Davide BiraschiDEF

25Filip MladenovicDEF

70SerginhoFWD

23Sam LarssonFWD

13Ivo GrbicGK

10Daniele VerdeMID

6Bartuğ ElmazMID

80Shavy Warren BabickaMID

5Matias KranevitterMID

Substitutes

94Anıl Yiğit ÇınarDEF

32Muhammed KadıoğluDEF

33Çağtay KurukalıpDEF

22Fatih KurucukDEF

72Baris KalayciFWD

21Tiago CukurFWD

88Ahmed TraoreFWD

99Furkan BekleviçGK

24Burhan ErsoyMID

8Berkay ÖzcanMID

Eyüpspor4-3-3Confirmed

2CalegariDEF

77Umut MeraşDEF

16Seyfettin Anıl YaşarDEF

4Luccas ClaroDEF

19Umut BozokFWD

15Charles-Andre Raux YaoFWD

26Metehan AltunbaşFWD

24Jankat YılmazGK

55Baran Ali GezekMID

20Mateusz ŁęgowskiMID

28Taskin IlterMID

Substitutes

88Arda YavuzDEF

68Jérôme OngueneDEF

42Berhan SatliDEF

5Bedirhan ÖzyurtDEF

14Diabel NdoyeDEF

17Talha ÜlvanDEF

23Lenny PintorFWD

25Abdou SyFWD

1Marcos FelipeGK

27Ismaila MangaMID

Unavailable Players

4 players

Fatih Karagümrük1

✕J. Camacho

Missing FixtureInactive

Eyüpspor3

✕D. Radu

Missing FixtureRed Card

✕D. Rotariu

Missing FixtureInjury

✕E. Akbaba

Missing FixtureBroken Leg

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets

Fatih Karagümrük Win1.84 (47.7%)

Eyüpspor Win4.21 (28.8%)

Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (46.9%)

Under 2.5 Goals1.76 (53.1%)

Both Teams Score1.83 (51.3%)

BTTS No1.87 (48.7%)

●Speculative

Draw3.38 (23.5%)