Everton vs Liverpool
Everton
#10 · Premier League
LWLWW
1 - 2
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Referee: C. Kavanagh
Liverpool
#5 · Premier League
WLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Everton will face Liverpool in the Premier League at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Everton has a 36% probability of winning this match. Liverpool has a 40.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Everton have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Liverpool average 2.1 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Liverpool40.6%2.23
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.9%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.6%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.29
16%
0-1
8.18
12.3%
1-2
8.36
12.1%
1-0
10.10
10%
2-1
10.26
9.8%
0-0
10.54
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.20 | Draw 3.43 | Away 2.23 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 2.00 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.79 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.96 | Under 1.38 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.65 | No 2.16 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.65 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.34 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.1%
Over 1.5 Goals75.2%
Over 2.5 Goals52.9%
Over 3.5 Goals31.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 29 | 37 | 70 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 70 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 58 | WLDWL |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 58 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 | WWLDL |
| 6 |  Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 10 | Everton | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 47 | LDWLW |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 31 | DLLDL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 68 | -34 | 20 | LLLLD |
| 20 |  Wolves | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 61 | -37 | 17 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonEvertonLiverpool
1.31Goals p.g.2.06
1.08Goals conceded p.g.1.19
23%Clean sheets31%
38%Win rate56%
2.38Avg goals in match3.25
Recent Results
EvertonLAST MATCHES
19 AprEverton1–2LiverpoolPremier League
21 MarEverton3–0ChelseaPremier League
14 MarArsenal2–0EvertonPremier League
03 MarEverton2–0BurnleyPremier League
28 FebNewcastle2–3EvertonPremier League
23 FebEverton0–1Manchester UnitedPremier League
5Win38%
4Draw31%
4Lost31%
LAST MATCHESLiverpool
19 AprEverton1–2LiverpoolPremier League
08 AprParis Saint Germain2–0LiverpoolUEFA Champions League
04 AprManchester City4–0LiverpoolFA Cup
21 MarBrighton2–1LiverpoolPremier League
18 MarLiverpool4–0GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
15 MarLiverpool1–1TottenhamPremier League
9Win56%
1Draw6%
6Lost38%
Lineups
ConfirmedEverton4-2-3-1Confirmed
32Jarrad BranthwaiteDEF
15Jake O'BrienDEF
16Vitaliy MykolenkoDEF
6James TarkowskiDEF
9BetoFWD
1Jordan PickfordGK
27Idrissa Gana GueyeMID
10Iliman NdiayeMID
22Kiernan Dewsbury-HallMID
7Dwight McNeilMID
37James GarnerMID
Substitutes
5Michael KeaneDEF
2Nathan PattersonDEF
19Tyrique GeorgeFWD
11Thierno BarryFWD
12Mark TraversGK
34Merlin RöhlMID
24Carlos AlcarazMID
20Tyler DiblingMID
42Tim IroegbunamMID
Liverpool4-2-3-1Confirmed
8Dominik SzoboszlaiDEF
26Andy RobertsonDEF
4Virgil van DijkDEF
5Ibrahima KonatéDEF
9Alexander IsakFWD
25Giorgi MamardashviliGK
38Ryan GravenberchMID
17Curtis JonesMID
11Mohamed SalahMID
18Cody GakpoMID
7Florian WirtzMID
Substitutes
6Miloš KerkezDEF
30Jeremie FrimpongDEF
73Rio NgumohaFWD
14Federico ChiesaFWD
41Ármin PécsiGK
28Freddie WoodmanGK
42Trey NyoniMID
10Alexis Mac AllisterMID
Unavailable Players
9 playersEverton2
C. Alcaraz
QuestionableInjury
J. Grealish
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
Liverpool7
Alisson
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
C. Bradley
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
G. Leoni
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
H. Ekitike
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
J. Gomez
Missing FixtureInjury
S. Bajcetic
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
W. Endo
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.65 (56.6%)
Value Bets
Everton Win3.20 (36%)
Liverpool Win2.23 (40.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (52.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.00 (47.1%)
BTTS No2.16 (43.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.43 (23.4%)
