Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
#30 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LDDLL
1 - 2
Referee: D. Herrera

Rosario Central
#6 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WWDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 (implied 62.2%) for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 63.8% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.57. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto will face Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has a 23.3% probability of winning this match. Rosario Central has a 50.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 26.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Rosario Central have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Rosario Central sit 6th in the table, 24 places above their opponents
- Rosario Central have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
- Rosario Central have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- Both teams average a combined 1.5 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Rosario Central50.4%2.14
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.568.8%1.45
Both Teams to Score
No63.8%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
5.24
19.1%
1-1
5.78
17.3%
0-0
6.10
16.5%
1-0
7.61
13.2%
0-2
8.49
11.9%
1-2
9.08
11.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.78 | Draw 2.99 | Away 2.14 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.61 | Under 1.45 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.54 | Under 2.43 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 5.34 | Under 1.14 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.19 | No 1.61 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.69 | 12 1.35 | X2 1.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals85.2%
Over 1.5 Goals61.3%
Over 2.5 Goals31.2%
Over 3.5 Goals17.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | ||||
| 2 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | ||||
| 3 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | ||||
| 4 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | ||||
| 5 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | ||||
| 6 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | ||||
| 28 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | ||||
| 29 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | ||||
| 30 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonEstudiantes de Rio CuartoRosario Central
0.27Goals p.g.1.19
1.27Goals conceded p.g.0.69
27%Clean sheets44%
7%Win rate56%
1.53Avg goals in match1.88
Recent Results
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLAST MATCHES
18 AprGimnasia L.P.1–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
07 AprEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–0San Martin TucumanCopa Argentina
04 AprAldosivi0–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
22 MarEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–2River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
16 MarRacing Club2–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
12 MarEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–1Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
1Win7%
4Draw27%
10Lost67%
LAST MATCHESRosario Central
19 AprRosario Central2–1Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
15 AprLibertad Asuncion0–1Rosario CentralCONMEBOL Libertadores
09 AprRosario Central0–0Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores
05 AprRosario Central2–1Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
23 MarIndepend. Rivadavia2–0Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
15 MarRosario Central2–1BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
9Win56%
4Draw25%
3Lost19%
Lineups
Confirmed
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto4-4-2Confirmed
28Facundo CobosDEF
30Sergio OjedaDEF
6Juan AntoniniDEF
2Gonzalo MaffiniDEF
22Mauro ValienteFWD
9Javier FerreiraFWD
43Agustín LastraGK
17Gabriel AlanísMID
35Facundo GallardoMID
5Alejandro CabreraMID
10Tomas GonzalezMID
Substitutes
31Matias ValentiDEF
45Raúl LozanoDEF
18Agustín MoralesFWD
32Mateo BajamichFWD
99Francisco GalvánFWD
11Martín GarneroneFWD
38Lautaro HerreraGK
8Siro RosaneMID
13Francisco RomeroMID
40Francesco Lo CelsoMID
19Nicolás TalponeMID
26Ezequiel ForclazMID
Rosario Central4-1-4-1Confirmed
32Emanuel CoronelDEF
33Alexis SotoDEF
13Gastón ÁvilaDEF
46Ignacio OvandoDEF
22Enzo CopettiFWD
23Jeremias LedesmaGK
5Franco IbarraMID
18Julián FernándezMID
27Gaspar DuarteMID
20Vicente PizarroMID
8Jaminton CampazMID
Substitutes
3Agustín SándezDEF
2Carlos QuintanaDEF
15Facundo MalloDEF
47Luca RaffinDEF
26Giovanni CantizanoFWD
9Alejo VélizFWD
39Fabricio OviedoFWD
1Jorge BrounGK
28Pol FernandezMID
10Santiago SegoviaMID
31Federico NavarroMID
11Ángel Di MaríaMID
Unavailable Players
0 players
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No reported absences
Rosario Central
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.45 (68.8%)
BTTS No1.61 (63.8%)
Value Bets
Draw2.99 (26.4%)
Rosario Central Win2.14 (50.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.61 (31.2%)
Both Teams Score2.19 (36.2%)
Speculative
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win3.78 (23.3%)









