Estoril vs Famalicao
Estoril
#9 · Primeira Liga
LLLWD
0 - 1
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Referee: C. Macedo
Famalicao
#5 · Primeira Liga
DDDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Estoril will face Famalicao in the Primeira Liga at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Estoril has a 33.6% probability of winning this match. Famalicao has a 43.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Famalicao are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Famalicao have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Famalicao43.5%2.14
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.7%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.1%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.44
15.6%
1-2
8.25
12.2%
0-1
8.92
11.3%
2-1
10.21
9.9%
1-0
11.01
9.2%
0-2
11.18
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.19 | Draw 3.47 | Away 2.14 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.69 | Under 2.14 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.22 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.65 | Under 1.43 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.56 | No 2.30 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.67 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.32 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals77.9%
Over 2.5 Goals56.7%
Over 3.5 Goals35.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61 | 14 | 47 | 79 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 30 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 72 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 71 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 56 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Famalicao | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 48 | DDDWW |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 46 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Estoril | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 37 | LLLLW |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 26 | LDLDL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 13 | DDLDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonEstorilFamalicao
1.93Goals p.g.1.33
1.64Goals conceded p.g.1.13
21%Clean sheets40%
43%Win rate47%
3.57Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
EstorilLAST MATCHES
20 AprMoreirense1–0EstorilPrimeira Liga
06 AprArouca3–2EstorilPrimeira Liga
22 MarEstoril1–2Rio AvePrimeira Liga
15 MarNacional0–1EstorilPrimeira Liga
07 MarEstoril0–0Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
27 FebSporting CP3–0EstorilPrimeira Liga
6Win43%
2Draw14%
6Lost43%
LAST MATCHESFamalicao
19 AprSC Braga2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
10 AprFamalicao1–1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
04 AprFC Porto2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
21 MarFamalicao1–0NacionalPrimeira Liga
14 MarGuimaraes1–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
06 MarFamalicao1–0AroucaPrimeira Liga
7Win47%
4Draw27%
4Lost27%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersEstoril
No reported absences
Famalicao
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.69 (56.7%)
Both Teams Score1.56 (60.1%)
Value Bets
Estoril Win3.19 (33.6%)
Famalicao Win2.14 (43.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.14 (43.3%)
BTTS No2.30 (39.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.47 (22.8%)
