Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
#4 · Liga MX
DDDDL
1 - 1
Referee: L. E. Santander Aguirre
Club Tijuana
#9 · Liga MX
WDWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Cruz Azul will face Club Tijuana in the Liga MX.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Cruz Azul has a 62.4% probability of winning this match. Club Tijuana has a 20.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Club Tijuana have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Cruz Azul62.4%1.30
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.70
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.36
13.6%
2-1
8.00
12.6%
3-0
8.69
11.6%
1-0
8.93
11.3%
3-1
9.44
10.7%
1-1
10.08
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.30 | Draw 5.43 | Away 8.41 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.43 | Under 2.70 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.11 | Under 5.78 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.09 | Under 1.71 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.70 | No 2.05 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.06 | 12 1.12 | X2 3.35 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.4%
Over 1.5 Goals83.7%
Over 2.5 Goals59%
Over 3.5 Goals45%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 35 | DWLDW |
| 2 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Pachuca | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 30 | DDDLD |
| 5 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 | LLDLD |
| 6 |  Club America | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 | WWDDL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 | WDWWL |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 17 |  Puebla | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 13 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 9 | LLLDW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCruz AzulClub Tijuana
1.95Goals p.g.1.19
1.1Goals conceded p.g.1.06
25%Clean sheets25%
50%Win rate31%
3.05Avg goals in match2.25
Recent Results
Cruz AzulLAST MATCHES
22 AprClub Queretaro1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX
18 AprCruz Azul1–1Club TijuanaLiga MX
15 AprCruz Azul1–1Los Angeles FCCONCACAF Champions League
12 AprClub America1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX
08 AprLos Angeles FC3–0Cruz AzulCONCACAF Champions League
05 AprCruz Azul1–2PachucaLiga MX
10Win50%
8Draw40%
2Lost10%
LAST MATCHESClub Tijuana
23 AprClub Tijuana3–1PachucaLiga MX
18 AprCruz Azul1–1Club TijuanaLiga MX
11 AprFC Juarez1–2Club TijuanaLiga MX
04 AprClub Tijuana1–0Tigres UANLLiga MX
21 MarNecaxa3–0Club TijuanaLiga MX
15 MarLeon0–3Club TijuanaLiga MX
5Win31%
7Draw44%
4Lost25%
Lineups
ConfirmedCruz Azul5-3-2Confirmed
4Willer DittaDEF
3Omar CamposDEF
33Gonzalo PioviDEF
29Carlos RotondiDEF
6Erik LiraDEF
21Gabriel FernándezFWD
10Andres MontañoFWD
23Kevin MierGK
8Agustín PalavecinoMID
19Carlos RodríguezMID
16Jeremy MárquezMID
Substitutes
22Jorge Rodarte BarraganDEF
209Josué DíazDEF
214Mateo LevyFWD
11Christian EbereFWD
20José ParadelaFWD
18Luka RomeroFWD
1Andrés GudiñoGK
170Ariel Castro SevillaMID
194Amaury MoralesMID
193Karol VelázquezMID
Club Tijuana4-1-4-1Confirmed
3Rafael FernándezDEF
33Pablo Nicolás OrtízDEF
6Jesús GómezDEF
12Jackson PorozoDEF
9Mourad El GhezouaniFWD
2Antonio RodriguezGK
20Ángel ZapataMID
17Ramiro ÁrcigaMID
22José RiveroMID
10Kevin CastañedaMID
11Adonis PreciadoMID
Substitutes
5Kevin EscamillaDEF
188Alejandro MagallonDEF
4Unai BilbaoDEF
202Joban GonzálezFWD
31Diego AbreuFWD
30Josef MartinezFWD
29Jorge HernándezGK
19Gilberto MoraMID
26Aldahir PérezMID
34Frank BoyaMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersCruz Azul
No reported absences
Club Tijuana
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Cruz Azul Win1.30 (62.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.43 (59%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.70 (41%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (54%)
BTTS No2.05 (46%)
Speculative
Draw5.43 (17.2%)
Club Tijuana Win8.41 (20.4%)