Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
#12 · Major League Soccer
LWWLL
1 - 0
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Referee: F. Dujic
Philadelphia Union
#13 · Major League Soccer
DWLLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Columbus Crew will face Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Columbus Crew has a 51.2% probability of winning this match. Philadelphia Union has a 26.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Columbus Crew51.2%1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.7%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.70
15%
1-0
7.46
13.5%
2-1
7.57
13.3%
2-0
8.58
11.7%
0-0
11.68
8.7%
0-1
12.03
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.80 | Draw 3.65 | Away 4.09 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.74 | Under 2.06 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 3.99 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.84 | Under 1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.66 | No 2.12 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.21 | 12 1.24 | X2 1.94 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.7%
Over 1.5 Goals76.5%
Over 2.5 Goals54.7%
Over 3.5 Goals33.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 | LDWLL |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | DWLLL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonColumbus CrewPhiladelphia Union
1.67Goals p.g.1.69
1.2Goals conceded p.g.1.25
20%Clean sheets31%
33%Win rate31%
2.87Avg goals in match2.94
Recent Results
Columbus CrewLAST MATCHES
18 AprNew England Revolution2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
15 AprRichmond Kickers0–3Columbus CrewUS Open Cup
04 AprAtlanta United FC1–3Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
21 MarToronto FC2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
14 MarColumbus Crew0–1Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
08 MarColumbus Crew0–0Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
5Win33%
3Draw20%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESPhiladelphia Union
18 AprPhiladelphia Union0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
11 AprCF Montreal1–2Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
04 AprCharlotte2–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
21 MarPhiladelphia Union1–2Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
19 MarClub America1–1Philadelphia UnionCONCACAF Champions League
14 MarAtlanta United FC3–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
5Win31%
2Draw13%
9Lost56%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersColumbus Crew
No reported absences
Philadelphia Union
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.66 (57.1%)
Value Bets
Columbus Crew Win1.80 (51.2%)
Philadelphia Union Win4.09 (26.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.74 (54.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.06 (45.3%)
BTTS No2.12 (42.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.65 (22%)
