Club Tijuana vs Pachuca
Club Tijuana
#9 · Liga MX
WDWWL
3 - 1
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Pachuca
#3 · Liga MX
LWWWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Club Tijuana will face Pachuca in the Liga MX at Estadio Caliente.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Club Tijuana has a 38.5% probability of winning this match. Pachuca has a 38.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Club Tijuana have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Pachuca have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Club Tijuana38.5%2.78
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551%1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.24
16.1%
0-1
8.44
11.9%
1-2
8.59
11.7%
1-0
9.34
10.7%
2-1
9.53
10.6%
0-0
10.98
9.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.78 | Draw 3.41 | Away 2.33 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.80 | Under 1.98 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.23 | Under 3.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.00 | Under 1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.15 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.56 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.39 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.1%
Over 1.5 Goals75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals49%
Over 3.5 Goals31.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 35 | DWLDW |
| 2 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Pachuca | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 30 | DDDLD |
| 5 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 | LLDLD |
| 6 |  Club America | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 | WWDDL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 | WDWWL |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 17 |  Puebla | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 13 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 9 | LLLDW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonClub TijuanaPachuca
1.19Goals p.g.1.56
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.06
25%Clean sheets19%
31%Win rate56%
2.25Avg goals in match2.62
Recent Results
Club TijuanaLAST MATCHES
23 AprClub Tijuana3–1PachucaLiga MX
18 AprCruz Azul1–1Club TijuanaLiga MX
11 AprFC Juarez1–2Club TijuanaLiga MX
04 AprClub Tijuana1–0Tigres UANLLiga MX
21 MarNecaxa3–0Club TijuanaLiga MX
15 MarLeon0–3Club TijuanaLiga MX
5Win31%
7Draw44%
4Lost25%
LAST MATCHESPachuca
23 AprClub Tijuana3–1PachucaLiga MX
19 AprMonterrey1–3PachucaLiga MX
12 AprPachuca4–2Santos LagunaLiga MX
05 AprCruz Azul1–2PachucaLiga MX
22 MarPachuca1–1TolucaLiga MX
14 MarAtletico San Luis1–1PachucaLiga MX
9Win56%
4Draw25%
3Lost19%
Lineups
ConfirmedClub Tijuana4-1-4-1Confirmed
6Jesús GómezDEF
33Pablo Nicolás OrtízDEF
12Jackson PorozoDEF
3Rafael FernándezDEF
31Diego AbreuFWD
2Antonio RodriguezGK
17Ramiro ÁrcigaMID
22José RiveroMID
19Gilberto MoraMID
8Iván TonaMID
10Kevin CastañedaMID
Substitutes
16Jesús VegaDEF
4Unai BilbaoDEF
9Mourad El GhezouaniFWD
30Josef MartinezFWD
11Adonis PreciadoFWD
29Jorge HernándezGK
27Domingo BlancoMID
26Aldahir PérezMID
20Ángel ZapataMID
34Frank BoyaMID
Pachuca4-2-3-1Confirmed
12Brian GarcíaDEF
21René LópezDEF
4Eduardo BauermannDEF
184Cristobal AlfaroDEF
18Alexei DomínguezFWD
25Carlos MorenoGK
26Alan BautistaMID
16Christian RiveraMID
10Enner ValenciaMID
7Luis QuinonesMID
188Sergio RodríguezMID
Substitutes
13Jorge BerlangaDEF
2Sergio BarretoDEF
14Carlos SánchezDEF
11Oussama IdrissiFWD
23Salomón RondónFWD
187Gael ÁlvarezFWD
31Jose EulogioGK
8Víctor GuzmánMID
5Pedro PedrazaMID
29KenedyMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersClub Tijuana
No reported absences
Pachuca
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Club Tijuana Win2.78 (38.5%)
Pachuca Win2.33 (38.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.80 (49%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.98 (51%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (53.9%)
BTTS No2.15 (46.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.41 (23.3%)