Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul

Liga MXClausura - 16

Club Queretaro

#14 · Liga MX

DDWDW

1 - 1

Estadio La Corregidora

Cruz Azul

#4 · Liga MX

DDDDL

30.1%

Home Win

21.4%

Draw

48.5%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

1.65

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Club Queretaro will face Cruz Azul in the Liga MX at Estadio La Corregidora.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Club Queretaro has a 30.1% probability of winning this match. Cruz Azul has a 48.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.4%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Club Queretaro are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Cruz Azul sit 4th in the table, 10 places above their opponents

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

2 — Cruz Azul48.5%1.73

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.553.5%1.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes55%1.61

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

7.17

14%

1-2

7.52

13.4%

0-1

8.04

12.5%

0-2

8.82

11.4%

1-3

11.85

8.5%

2-2

12.50

8.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 4.25	Draw 3.82	Away 1.73
O/U 2.5	Over 1.66	Under 2.18
O/U 1.5	Over 1.19	Under 4.29
O/U 3.5	Over 2.60	Under 1.45
BTTS	Yes 1.61	No 2.19
Double Chance	1X 2.03	12 1.22	X2 1.19

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

92.2%

Over 1.5 Goals

78.2%

Over 2.5 Goals

53.5%

Over 3.5 Goals

35.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	11	2	3	33	17	16	35	DWLDW
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	9	6	1	32	17	15	33	WWWDW
3	Pachuca	16	9	4	3	25	17	8	31	LWWWD
4	Cruz Azul	16	8	6	2	27	17	10	30	DDDLD
5	Toluca	16	7	6	3	24	15	9	27	LLDLD
6	Club America	16	7	4	5	20	16	4	25	WWDDL
14	Club Queretaro	16	3	8	5	15	20	-5	17	DDWDW
16	Mazatlán	16	4	3	9	21	32	-11	15	WDLLD
17	Puebla	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13	LLLDL
18	Santos Laguna	16	2	3	11	17	38	-21	9	LLLDW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

Club QueretaroCruz Azul

0.94Goals p.g.1.95

1.25Goals conceded p.g.1.1

31%Clean sheets25%

19%Win rate50%

2.19Avg goals in match3.05

Recent Results

Club QueretaroLAST MATCHES

22 AprClub Queretaro1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX

18 AprMazatlán1–1Club QueretaroLiga MX

11 AprClub Queretaro3–1NecaxaLiga MX

08 AprClub Queretaro1–1FC JuarezLiga MX

04 AprClub Queretaro1–0TolucaLiga MX

21 MarAtlas0–0Club QueretaroLiga MX

3Win19%

8Draw50%

5Lost31%

LAST MATCHESCruz Azul

22 AprClub Queretaro1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX

18 AprCruz Azul1–1Club TijuanaLiga MX

15 AprCruz Azul1–1Los Angeles FCCONCACAF Champions League

12 AprClub America1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX

08 AprLos Angeles FC3–0Cruz AzulCONCACAF Champions League

05 AprCruz Azul1–2PachucaLiga MX

10Win50%

8Draw40%

2Lost10%

Lineups

Confirmed

Club Queretaro4-2-3-1Confirmed

9Diego ReyesDEF

22Bayron DuarteDEF

27Daniel ParraDEF

2Lucas AbasciaDEF

31Ali ÁvilaFWD

1José HernándezGK

17Francisco VenegasMID

37Mateo CoronelMID

14Jean UnjanqueMID

6Santiago HomenchenkoMID

4Carlo Adriano GarcíaMID

Substitutes

15Carlos VillanuevaDEF

12Jaime GomezDEF

26Eduardo PerezFWD

25Guillermo AllisonGK

21Fernando GonzálezMID

29Waldo MadridMID

20Alejandro AlcalaMID

8Bernardo ParraMID

190Juan Pablo CázaresMID

23Juan Eduardo RoblesMID

Cruz Azul4-2-3-1Confirmed

4Willer DittaDEF

29Carlos RotondiDEF

33Gonzalo PioviDEF

3Omar CamposDEF

21Gabriel FernándezFWD

23Kevin MierGK

6Erik LiraMID

20José ParadelaMID

19Carlos RodríguezMID

8Agustín PalavecinoMID

16Jeremy MárquezMID

Substitutes

209Josué DíazDEF

214Mateo LevyFWD

11Christian EbereFWD

18Luka RomeroFWD

1Andrés GudiñoGK

170Ariel Castro SevillaMID

193Karol VelázquezMID

194Amaury MoralesMID

17Amaury Garcia MorenoMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Club Queretaro

No reported absences

Cruz Azul

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Both Teams Score1.61 (55%)

●Value Bets

Club Queretaro Win4.25 (30.1%)

Cruz Azul Win1.73 (48.5%)

Over 2.5 Goals1.66 (53.5%)

Under 2.5 Goals2.18 (46.5%)

BTTS No2.19 (45%)

●Speculative

Draw3.82 (21.4%)