Club America vs Atlas

Liga MXClausura - 17

Club America

#6 · Liga MX

WWLDD

0 - 1

Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes, Mexico City

Atlas

#7 · Liga MX

DWDLL

56.7%

Home Win

22.6%

Draw

20.7%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Under 2.5 Goals

Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.

Totals

1.85

BEST ODDS

Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.74 (implied 57.4%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.7% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.70. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Club America will face Atlas in the Liga MX at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Club America has a 56.7% probability of winning this match. Atlas has a 20.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Atlas have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches

Match Preview

Predictions

Moderate confidence

Match Result

1 — Club America56.7%1.59

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.558.7%1.74

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

No56%1.71

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-0

5.61

17.9%

2-0

6.59

15.2%

1-1

6.74

14.9%

2-1

7.69

13.1%

0-0

8.69

11.5%

3-0

10.87

9.3%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 1.59	Draw 3.68	Away 5.70
O/U 2.5	Over 2.06	Under 1.74
O/U 1.5	Over 1.32	Under 3.16
O/U 3.5	Over 3.64	Under 1.25
BTTS	Yes 2.01	No 1.71
Double Chance	1X 1.12	12 1.23	X2 2.29

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

89.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

70.4%

Over 2.5 Goals

41.3%

Over 3.5 Goals

25.7%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	11	2	3	33	17	16	35	DWLDW
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	9	6	1	32	17	15	33	WWWDW
3	Pachuca	16	9	4	3	25	17	8	31	LWWWD
4	Cruz Azul	16	8	6	2	27	17	10	30	DDDLD
5	Toluca	16	7	6	3	24	15	9	27	LLDLD
6	Club America	16	7	4	5	20	16	4	25	WWDDL
7	Atlas	16	6	5	5	15	18	-3	23	DWDLD
16	Mazatlán	16	4	3	9	21	32	-11	15	WDLLD
17	Puebla	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13	LLLDL
18	Santos Laguna	16	2	3	11	17	38	-21	9	LLLDW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

Club AmericaAtlas

1.25Goals p.g.0.88

0.9Goals conceded p.g.1.12

35%Clean sheets41%

45%Win rate35%

2.15Avg goals in match2

Recent Results

Club AmericaLAST MATCHES

22 AprLeon2–3Club AmericaLiga MX

19 AprClub America2–1TolucaLiga MX

15 AprClub America0–1Nashville SCCONCACAF Champions League

12 AprClub America1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX

08 AprNashville SC0–0Club AmericaCONCACAF Champions League

05 AprSantos Laguna1–1Club AmericaLiga MX

9Win45%

6Draw30%

5Lost25%

LAST MATCHESAtlas

23 AprAtlas0–0Tigres UANLLiga MX

19 AprSantos Laguna0–1AtlasLiga MX

12 AprAtlas0–0MonterreyLiga MX

05 AprLeon2–0AtlasLiga MX

30 MarAtlas0–1Guadalajara ChivasFriendlies Clubs

21 MarAtlas0–0Club QueretaroLiga MX

6Win35%

5Draw29%

6Lost35%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Club America

No reported absences

Atlas

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Club America Win1.59 (56.7%)

Under 2.5 Goals1.74 (58.7%)

BTTS No1.71 (56%)

●Value Bets

Over 2.5 Goals2.06 (41.3%)

Both Teams Score2.01 (44%)

●Speculative

Draw3.68 (22.6%)

Atlas Win5.70 (20.7%)