Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
#4 · Major League Soccer
DWWWW
5 - 0
Soldier Field
Referee: B. Stevis
Sporting Kansas City
#15 · Major League Soccer
LLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Chicago Fire will face Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer at Soldier Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Chicago Fire has a 72.6% probability of winning this match. Sporting Kansas City has a 10.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 16.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Chicago Fire are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Chicago Fire sit 4th in the table, 11 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Chicago Fire72.6%1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.562.5%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.9%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.34
12.1%
2-0
8.61
11.7%
3-1
9.29
10.9%
3-0
9.30
10.8%
1-0
10.60
9.5%
1-1
11.28
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.29 | Draw 5.74 | Away 8.76 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.33 | Under 3.23 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.08 | Under 7.17 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.85 | Under 1.91 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.59 | No 2.25 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.07 | 12 1.11 | X2 3.46 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.1%
Over 1.5 Goals86.8%
Over 2.5 Goals62.5%
Over 3.5 Goals50.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonChicago FireSporting Kansas City
1.56Goals p.g.0.73
1.31Goals conceded p.g.1.73
31%Clean sheets20%
38%Win rate27%
2.88Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
Chicago FireLAST MATCHES
18 AprFC Cincinnati3–3Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
14 AprDetroit City1–2Chicago FireUS Open Cup
05 AprChicago Fire1–0Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
21 MarPhiladelphia Union1–2Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
15 MarChicago Fire2–1ChattanoogaMLS Next Pro
15 MarChicago Fire1–2DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
6Win38%
6Draw38%
4Lost25%
LAST MATCHESSporting Kansas City
18 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–0Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
15 AprColorado Springs3–0Sporting Kansas CityUS Open Cup
04 AprReal Salt Lake3–1Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
22 MarSporting Kansas City1–4Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
15 MarLos Angeles Galaxy1–2Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
08 MarSporting Kansas City0–1San DiegoMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
2Draw13%
9Lost60%
Lineups
ConfirmedChicago Fire4-3-3Confirmed
15Andrew GutmanDEF
3Jack ElliottDEF
24Jonathan DeanDEF
16Joel WatermanDEF
12Puso DithejaneFWD
9Hugo CuypersFWD
11Philip ZinckernagelFWD
1Chris BradyGK
6Anton SaletrosMID
7Maren Haile-SelassieMID
42Dje Tah D'AvillaMID
Substitutes
14Viktor RadojevićDEF
4Mbekezeli MbokaziDEF
22Mauricio PinedaDEF
27Dylan BorsoFWD
20Jason ShokalookFWD
44Josh CohenGK
29David PorebaMID
35Sergio OregelMID
17Robin LodMID
Sporting Kansas City5-4-1Confirmed
2Ian JamesDEF
20Kwaku AgyabengDEF
15Jansen MillerDEF
23Ethan BartlowDEF
8Jacob DavisDEF
9Dejan JoveljićFWD
1John PulskampGK
4Lasse Berg JohnsenMID
6Manu GarcíaMID
7CapitaMID
11Calvin HarrisMID
Substitutes
16Jacob BartlettDEF
28Wyatt MeyerDEF
99Jayden ReidDEF
17Stephen AfrifaFWD
19Taylor CalheiraFWD
93Magomed Shapi SuleymanovFWD
30Stefan ClevelandGK
12Jack KortkampGK
14Macielo TschantretMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersChicago Fire
No reported absences
Sporting Kansas City
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Chicago Fire Win1.29 (72.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.33 (62.5%)
Both Teams Score1.59 (55.9%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.23 (37.5%)
BTTS No2.25 (44.1%)
Speculative
Draw5.74 (16.5%)
Sporting Kansas City Win8.76 (10.8%)
