Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
#8 · Premier League
LWLLL
VS
Stamford Bridge, London
Nottingham Forest
#16 · Premier League
WDDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Chelsea will face Nottingham Forest in the Premier League at Stamford Bridge.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Chelsea has a 51.7% probability of winning this match. Nottingham Forest has a 27.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Nottingham Forest have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Chelsea sit 8th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
- Chelsea average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Chelsea51.7%1.71
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.4%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.1%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.22
13.9%
2-1
7.64
13.2%
1-0
8.48
11.8%
2-0
9.25
10.9%
3-1
12.28
8.2%
2-2
12.63
8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.71 | Draw 3.88 | Away 4.54 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.62 | Under 2.29 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.18 | Under 4.51 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.52 | Under 1.49 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.60 | No 2.24 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.19 | 12 1.24 | X2 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.5%
Over 1.5 Goals79.2%
Over 2.5 Goals59.4%
Over 3.5 Goals37.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 29 | 37 | 70 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 70 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 58 | WLDWL |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 58 | WDWLL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 | WWLDL |
| 6 |  Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 8 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 48 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 | WDWDD |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 31 | DLLDL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 68 | -34 | 20 | LLLLD |
| 20 |  Wolves | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 61 | -37 | 17 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonChelseaNottingham Forest
2.12Goals p.g.1.53
1.69Goals conceded p.g.0.94
12%Clean sheets35%
44%Win rate35%
3.81Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
ChelseaLAST MATCHES
18 AprChelsea0–1Manchester UnitedPremier League
04 AprChelsea7–0Port ValeFA Cup
21 MarEverton3–0ChelseaPremier League
17 MarChelsea0–3Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
14 MarChelsea0–1NewcastlePremier League
11 MarParis Saint Germain5–2ChelseaUEFA Champions League
7Win44%
2Draw13%
7Lost44%
LAST MATCHESNottingham Forest
19 AprNottingham Forest4–1BurnleyPremier League
12 AprNottingham Forest1–1Aston VillaPremier League
09 AprFC Porto1–1Nottingham ForestUEFA Europa League
22 MarTottenham0–3Nottingham ForestPremier League
19 MarFC Midtjylland1–2Nottingham ForestUEFA Europa League
15 MarNottingham Forest0–0FulhamPremier League
6Win35%
6Draw35%
5Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChelsea
No reported absences
Nottingham Forest
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.62 (59.4%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (60.1%)
Value Bets
Chelsea Win1.71 (51.7%)
Nottingham Forest Win4.54 (27.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.29 (40.6%)
BTTS No2.24 (39.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.88 (21.1%)
