CF Montreal vs New York City FC
CF Montreal
#11 · Major League Soccer
WLLLL
1 - 0
Saputo Stadium
Referee: R. Touchan
New York City FC
#7 · Major League Soccer
LWLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 62.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , CF Montreal will face New York City FC in the Major League Soccer at Saputo Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that CF Montreal has a 38.3% probability of winning this match. New York City FC has a 39.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.4%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — New York City FC39.2%2.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.6%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes62.8%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.38
15.7%
1-2
8.67
11.6%
0-1
9.06
11.1%
2-1
9.41
10.7%
1-0
9.92
10.1%
2-2
11.48
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.72 | Draw 3.44 | Away 2.40 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.72 | Under 2.08 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.14 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.78 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.57 | No 2.27 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.52 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.42 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals77.3%
Over 2.5 Goals60.6%
Over 3.5 Goals33.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 7 | New York City FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonCF MontrealNew York City FC
1.53Goals p.g.1.75
2.33Goals conceded p.g.1.56
7%Clean sheets19%
27%Win rate38%
3.87Avg goals in match3.31
Recent Results
CF MontrealLAST MATCHES
18 AprCF Montreal4–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
11 AprCF Montreal1–2Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
04 AprNew England Revolution3–0CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
22 MarFC Cincinnati4–3CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
14 MarOrlando City SC2–1CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
08 MarNew York Red Bulls0–3CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
1Draw7%
10Lost67%
LAST MATCHESNew York City FC
18 AprNew York City FC1–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
14 AprWestchester SC2–5New York City FCUS Open Cup
11 AprVancouver Whitecaps2–0New York City FCMajor League Soccer
04 AprNew York City FC1–1St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
22 MarNew York City FC2–3Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
14 MarNew York City FC3–1Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
6Win38%
4Draw25%
6Lost38%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
7 playersCF Montreal4
B. Hidalgo
Missing FixtureInactive
G. Synchuk
Missing FixtureInjury
S. Ibrahim
Missing FixtureBack Injury
W. Carmona
Missing FixtureInjury
New York City FC3
A. Martinez
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
A. Perea
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
D. Baiera
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.72 (60.6%)
Both Teams Score1.57 (62.8%)
Value Bets
CF Montreal Win2.72 (38.3%)
New York City FC Win2.40 (39.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.08 (39.4%)
BTTS No2.27 (37.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (22.4%)
