Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
Casa Pia
#16 · Primeira Liga
LDLDL
0 - 0
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Referee: A. Nobre
Santa Clara
#13 · Primeira Liga
DLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 53.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Casa Pia will face Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Casa Pia has a 31.6% probability of winning this match. Santa Clara has a 42.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.8 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Santa Clara42.6%2.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.560.3%1.49
Both Teams to Score
No53.5%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
5.51
18.2%
1-1
5.67
17.7%
0-0
6.38
15.8%
1-0
7.68
13.1%
0-2
8.87
11.4%
1-2
9.01
11.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.53 | Draw 3.00 | Away 2.22 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.54 | Under 1.49 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.50 | Under 2.50 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.94 | Under 1.15 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.09 | No 1.68 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.64 | 12 1.35 | X2 1.28 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals85.4%
Over 1.5 Goals62.4%
Over 2.5 Goals39.7%
Over 3.5 Goals18.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61 | 14 | 47 | 79 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 30 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 72 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 71 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 56 | WDWWL |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 48 | DDDWW |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 46 | LDWLD |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 | DLLWW |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 26 | LDLDL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 13 | DDLDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCasa PiaSanta Clara
0.8Goals p.g.1
1.6Goals conceded p.g.1.47
27%Clean sheets27%
13%Win rate20%
2.4Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
Casa PiaLAST MATCHES
23 AprCasa Pia0–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
18 AprCasa Pia0–0Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
12 AprAlverca3–1Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
06 AprCasa Pia1–1BenficaPrimeira Liga
20 MarEstrela4–0Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
07 MarEstoril0–0Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
2Win13%
7Draw47%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESSanta Clara
18 AprCasa Pia0–0Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
11 AprSanta Clara0–2Rio AvePrimeira Liga
03 AprSporting CP4–2Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
21 MarSanta Clara1–0GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
15 MarAVS0–1Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
08 MarSanta Clara2–0GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
3Win20%
4Draw27%
8Lost53%
Lineups
ConfirmedCasa Pia3-4-3Confirmed
18Andre GeraldesDEF
4João GoulartDEF
43David SousaDEF
11Joao MarquesFWD
90CassianoFWD
29Jérémy LivolantFWD
1Patrick SequeiraGK
72Gaizka LarrazabalMID
75Pedro RosasMID
8Rafael BritoMID
24Iyad MohamedMID
Substitutes
3Domingos Jose Gabriel BandeiraDEF
19Kevin PrietoFWD
99Claudio MendesFWD
10Dailon Rocha LivramentoFWD
21Tiago MoraisFWD
13Oluwakorede OsundinaFWD
95Ivan MandićGK
80Lawrence OforiMID
42Sebastian PerezMID
Santa Clara4-3-3Confirmed
94Henrique SilvaDEF
5Guilherme RomãoDEF
23Sidney LimaDEF
42Lucas SoaresDEF
10Gabriel SilvaFWD
39Goncalo PacienciaFWD
70Vinícius LopesFWD
1Gabriel BatistaGK
35SerginhoMID
8Pedro FerreiraMID
65José TavaresMID
Substitutes
2Diogo CalilaDEF
21Frederico VenancioDEF
64Paulo VictorDEF
11BrennerFWD
26Luis FernandoFWD
49WelintonFWD
12NenecaGK
77Gustavo KlismahnMID
37DarlanMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersCasa Pia
No reported absences
Santa Clara
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.49 (60.3%)
Value Bets
Casa Pia Win3.53 (31.6%)
Draw3.00 (25.8%)
Santa Clara Win2.22 (42.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.54 (39.7%)
Both Teams Score2.09 (46.5%)
BTTS No1.68 (53.5%)
