Bournemouth vs Leeds
Bournemouth
#7 · Premier League
WDDDD
2 - 2
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Referee: M. Salisbury
Leeds
#15 · Premier League
WDDDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Bournemouth will face Leeds in the Premier League at Vitality Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Bournemouth has a 50.4% probability of winning this match. Leeds has a 26.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Leeds are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Bournemouth sit 7th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Bournemouth50.4%1.96
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.4%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.70
15%
2-1
7.92
12.7%
1-0
8.43
11.9%
2-0
10.00
10%
1-2
11.63
8.7%
0-0
12.15
8.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.96 | Draw 3.57 | Away 3.76 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.73 | Under 2.12 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.10 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.73 | Under 1.43 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.60 | No 2.24 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.27 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.82 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.2%
Over 1.5 Goals77.1%
Over 2.5 Goals49.6%
Over 3.5 Goals34.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 29 | 37 | 70 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 70 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 58 | WLDWL |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 58 | WDWLL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 | WWLDL |
| 6 |  Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 50 | WDWWW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 49 | DWWDD |
| 15 | Leeds | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 40 | DWWDD |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 31 | DLLDL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 68 | -34 | 20 | LLLLD |
| 20 |  Wolves | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 61 | -37 | 17 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBournemouthLeeds
1.46Goals p.g.1.21
1Goals conceded p.g.1
31%Clean sheets36%
38%Win rate29%
2.46Avg goals in match2.21
Recent Results
BournemouthLAST MATCHES
18 AprNewcastle1–2BournemouthPremier League
20 MarBournemouth2–2Manchester UnitedPremier League
14 MarBurnley0–0BournemouthPremier League
03 MarBournemouth0–0BrentfordPremier League
28 FebBournemouth1–1SunderlandPremier League
21 FebWest Ham0–0BournemouthPremier League
5Win38%
8Draw62%
0Lost0%
LAST MATCHESLeeds
18 AprLeeds3–0WolvesPremier League
05 AprWest Ham2–2LeedsFA Cup
21 MarLeeds0–0BrentfordPremier League
15 MarCrystal Palace0–0LeedsPremier League
08 MarLeeds3–0NorwichFA Cup
03 MarLeeds0–1SunderlandPremier League
4Win29%
7Draw50%
3Lost21%
Lineups
ConfirmedBournemouth4-2-3-1Confirmed
20Álex JiménezDEF
23James HillDEF
5Marcos SenesiDEF
3Adrien TruffertDEF
9EvanilsonFWD
1Đorđe PetrovićGK
7David BrooksMID
16Marcus TavernierMID
22Eli Junior KroupiMID
10Ryan ChristieMID
8Alex ScottMID
Substitutes
18Bafodé DiakitéDEF
15Adam SmithDEF
21Amine AdliFWD
37RayanFWD
11Ben Gannon-DoakFWD
26Enes UnalFWD
29Christos MandasGK
27Alex TóthMID
12Tyler AdamsMID
Leeds3-4-2-1Confirmed
15Jaka BijolDEF
24James JustinDEF
5Pascal StruijkDEF
11Brenden AaronsonFWD
9Dominic Calvert-LewinFWD
19Noah OkaforFWD
26Karl DarlowGK
2Jayden BogleMID
4Ethan AmpaduMID
22Ao TanakaMID
3Gabriel GudmundssonMID
Substitutes
6Joe RodonDEF
23Sebastiaan BornauwDEF
29Wilfried GnontoFWD
14Lukas NmechaFWD
10Joël PiroeFWD
1Lucas PerriGK
8Sean LongstaffMID
40Facundo BuonanotteMID
7Daniel JamesMID
Unavailable Players
5 playersBournemouth3
J. Kluivert
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Soler
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
L. Cook
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Leeds2
A. Stach
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
D. James
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Bournemouth Win1.96 (50.4%)
Leeds Win3.76 (26.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.73 (49.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.12 (50.4%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (53.9%)
BTTS No2.24 (46.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.57 (23.1%)
