Botafogo vs Internacional

Serie ARegular Season - 13

Botafogo

#9 · Serie A

WWWDW

2 - 2

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Referee: F. Mendes

Internacional

#14 · Serie A

LDWDW

45.3%

Home Win

25.5%

Draw

29.2%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Under 2.5 Goals

Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.

Totals

1.78

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Botafogo will face Internacional in the Serie A at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Botafogo has a 45.3% probability of winning this match. Internacional has a 29.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.5%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Botafogo are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Botafogo45.3%2.45

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.555.8%1.72

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Yes50.7%1.78

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

5.71

17.6%

1-0

7.18

14%

0-0

8.03

12.6%

0-1

8.22

12.2%

2-1

9.13

11%

1-2

10.16

9.9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.45	Draw 3.04	Away 2.97
O/U 2.5	Over 2.10	Under 1.72
O/U 1.5	Over 1.34	Under 3.11
O/U 3.5	Over 3.66	Under 1.25
BTTS	Yes 1.78	No 1.94
Double Chance	1X 1.37	12 1.34	X2 1.52

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

88.1%

Over 1.5 Goals

69.9%

Over 2.5 Goals

44.2%

Over 3.5 Goals

25.6%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Palmeiras	12	9	2	1	22	10	12	29	WDWWW
2	Flamengo	11	7	2	2	20	10	10	23	WWWLD
3	Fluminense	12	7	2	3	21	15	6	23	WLDWW
4	Sao Paulo	12	6	2	4	16	11	5	20	LLWDL
5	Bahia	11	6	2	3	15	12	3	20	LWLWL
6	Atletico Paranaense	12	6	1	5	17	14	3	19	LWLLW
9	Botafogo	11	5	1	5	22	22	0	16	WDWWL
14	Internacional	12	3	4	5	10	12	-2	13	LDWDW
18	Mirassol	11	2	3	6	13	17	-4	9	WLLLL
19	Remo	12	1	5	6	13	22	-9	8	LDDLW
20	Chapecoense-sc	11	1	5	5	11	22	-11	8	LLDLL

Key Statistics

2026 Season

BotafogoInternacional

1.35Goals p.g.1.29

1.2Goals conceded p.g.0.94

20%Clean sheets35%

45%Win rate41%

2.55Avg goals in match2.24

Recent Results

BotafogoLAST MATCHES

21 AprBotafogo1–0Chapecoense-scCopa Do Brasil

18 AprChapecoense-sc1–4BotafogoSerie A

15 AprRacing Club2–3BotafogoCONMEBOL Sudamericana

09 AprBotafogo1–1Caracas FCCONMEBOL Sudamericana

05 AprVasco DA Gama1–2BotafogoSerie A

01 AprBotafogo3–2MirassolSerie A

9Win45%

3Draw15%

7Lost35%

LAST MATCHESInternacional

19 AprInternacional1–2MirassolSerie A

11 AprInternacional0–0GremioSerie A

05 AprCorinthians0–1InternacionalSerie A

01 AprInternacional1–1Sao PauloSerie A

22 MarInternacional2–0Chapecoense-scSerie A

19 MarSantos1–2InternacionalSerie A

7Win41%

5Draw29%

5Lost29%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

4 players

Botafogo3

✕C. Ramos

Missing FixtureInactive

✕Kaio Pantaleao

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

✕S. Rodriguez

Missing FixtureInactive

Internacional1

✕Ronaldo

QuestionableMuscle Injury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Under 2.5 Goals1.72 (55.8%)

●Value Bets

Botafogo Win2.45 (45.3%)

Draw3.04 (25.5%)

Internacional Win2.97 (29.2%)

Over 2.5 Goals2.10 (44.2%)

Both Teams Score1.78 (50.7%)

BTTS No1.94 (49.3%)