Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
#13 · Bundesliga
DDDWL
1 - 1
BORUSSIA-PARK
Referee: T. Welz
FSV Mainz 05
#10 · Bundesliga
DWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.72
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Borussia Mönchengladbach will face FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga at BORUSSIA-PARK.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Borussia Mönchengladbach has a 40.6% probability of winning this match. FSV Mainz 05 has a 36.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FSV Mainz 05 are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Borussia Mönchengladbach40.6%2.28
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.3%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.6%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.29
15.9%
1-0
8.39
11.9%
2-1
8.40
11.9%
1-2
9.85
10.2%
0-1
9.85
10.2%
2-0
11.07
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.28 | Draw 3.50 | Away 3.03 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 2.01 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.94 | Under 1.38 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.65 | No 2.16 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.37 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals75.2%
Over 2.5 Goals53.3%
Over 3.5 Goals31.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 109 | 29 | 80 | 79 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 56 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 54 | WDLLD |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 52 | LWWDD |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 34 | DLWWW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 | DLDDW |
| 16 |  FC St. Pauli | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 26 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 24 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 19 | LWDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBorussia MönchengladbachFSV Mainz 05
1.29Goals p.g.1.59
1.79Goals conceded p.g.1.06
29%Clean sheets29%
21%Win rate53%
3.07Avg goals in match2.65
Recent Results
Borussia MönchengladbachLAST MATCHES
19 AprBorussia Mönchengladbach1–1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
04 AprBorussia Mönchengladbach2–21. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
21 Mar1. FC Köln3–3Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
13 MarBorussia Mönchengladbach2–0FC St. PauliBundesliga
06 MarBayern München4–1Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
28 FebBorussia Mönchengladbach1–0Union BerlinBundesliga
3Win21%
6Draw43%
5Lost36%
LAST MATCHESFSV Mainz 05
19 AprBorussia Mönchengladbach1–1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
09 AprFSV Mainz 052–0StrasbourgUEFA Europa Conference League
04 Apr1899 Hoffenheim1–2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
22 MarFSV Mainz 052–1Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
19 MarFSV Mainz 052–0Sigma OlomoucUEFA Europa Conference League
15 MarWerder Bremen0–2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
9Win53%
6Draw35%
2Lost12%
Lineups
ConfirmedBorussia Mönchengladbach3-4-2-1Confirmed
4Kevin DiksDEF
16Philipp SanderDEF
30Nico ElvediDEF
7Kevin StögerFWD
15Haris TabakovicFWD
38Hugo BolinFWD
33Moritz NicolasGK
29Joseph ScallyMID
27Rocco ReitzMID
6Yannik EngelhardtMID
17Jens CastropMID
Substitutes
14Kota TakaiDEF
2Fabio ChiarodiaDEF
26Lukas UllrichDEF
18Shuto MachinoFWD
23Jan OlschowskyGK
13Giovanni ReynaMID
36Wael MohyaMID
9Franck HonoratMID
25Robin HackMID
FSV Mainz 053-1-4-2Confirmed
4Stefan PoschDEF
31Dominik KohrDEF
21Danny da CostaDEF
20Phillip TietzFWD
23Sheraldo BeckerFWD
33Daniel BatzGK
6Kaishu SanoMID
19Anthony CaciMID
10Nadiem AmiriMID
22Nikolas VeratschnigMID
8Paul NebelMID
Substitutes
48Kacper PotulskiDEF
25Andreas Hanche-OlsenDEF
30Silvan WidmerDEF
2Phillipp MweneDEF
11Armindo SiebFWD
44Nelson WeiperFWD
14William BøvingFWD
1Lasse RiessGK
24Sota KawasakiMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersBorussia Mönchengladbach1
T. Kleindienst
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
FSV Mainz 055
B. Hollerbach
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
Lee Jae-Sung
Missing FixtureToe Injury
M. Dal
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Leitsch
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Silas
Missing FixtureBroken shinbone
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.65 (56.6%)
Value Bets
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win2.28 (40.6%)
FSV Mainz 05 Win3.03 (36.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (53.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (46.7%)
BTTS No2.16 (43.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.50 (22.9%)
