Belgrano Cordoba vs Gimnasia L.P.
Belgrano Cordoba
#17 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DWLWL
0 - 1
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
Referee: N. Arasa
Gimnasia L.P.
#21 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WWWLL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 62.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Belgrano Cordoba will face Gimnasia L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Belgrano Cordoba has a 53.2% probability of winning this match. Gimnasia L.P. has a 22% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Gimnasia L.P. have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Belgrano Cordoba boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.8 goals per game
- Belgrano Cordoba have kept clean sheets in 56% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Belgrano Cordoba53.2%1.82
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.562%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No56.7%1.64
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.03
19.9%
1-1
6.15
16.3%
0-0
6.96
14.5%
2-0
7.13
14.1%
2-1
8.37
12%
0-1
9.43
10.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.82 | Draw 3.22 | Away 4.72 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.39 | Under 1.53 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.46 | Under 2.63 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.68 | Under 1.17 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.15 | No 1.64 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.17 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.7%
Over 1.5 Goals64.3%
Over 2.5 Goals38%
Over 3.5 Goals20%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 17 | Belgrano Cordoba | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 109 | DWLLD | |||
| 21 | Gimnasia L.P. | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 106 | WWLLL | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonBelgrano CordobaGimnasia L.P.
1Goals p.g.1.31
0.75Goals conceded p.g.1.25
56%Clean sheets25%
44%Win rate44%
1.75Avg goals in match2.56
Recent Results
Belgrano CordobaLAST MATCHES
20 AprBarracas Central0–0Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
11 AprBelgrano Cordoba1–0AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
05 AprRiver Plate3–0Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
28 MarBelgrano Cordoba3–0Atletico DE RafaelaCopa Argentina
22 MarBelgrano Cordoba1–2Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
15 MarBelgrano Cordoba0–0Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
7Win44%
6Draw38%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESGimnasia L.P.
22 AprAcassuso0–3Gimnasia L.P.Copa Argentina
18 AprGimnasia L.P.1–0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
10 AprGimnasia L.P.4–1Deportivo CamionerosCopa Argentina
05 AprGimnasia L.P.0–3HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
21 MarAtletico Tucuman1–0Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
15 MarGimnasia L.P.2–3Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
7Win44%
2Draw13%
7Lost44%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBelgrano Cordoba
No reported absences
Gimnasia L.P.
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.53 (62%)
BTTS No1.64 (56.7%)
Value Bets
Belgrano Cordoba Win1.82 (53.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.39 (38%)
Both Teams Score2.15 (43.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.22 (24.8%)
Gimnasia L.P. Win4.72 (22%)
