Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük
Beşiktaş
#4 · Süper Lig
DLWLW
0 - 0
Besiktas Park, Istanbul
Referee: B. Kolak
Fatih Karagümrük
#18 · Süper Lig
LLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Beşiktaş will face Fatih Karagümrük in the Süper Lig at Besiktas Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Beşiktaş has a 69.1% probability of winning this match. Fatih Karagümrük has a 13.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Beşiktaş sit 4th in the table, 14 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Beşiktaş69.1%1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.6%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%1.84
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
6.62
15.1%
1-0
7.55
13.3%
2-1
7.77
13%
3-0
8.29
12.1%
1-1
9.42
10.7%
3-1
9.90
10.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.31 | Draw 5.28 | Away 8.42 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.53 | Under 2.39 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 4.94 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.37 | Under 1.56 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.84 | No 1.88 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.06 | 12 1.13 | X2 3.29 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.3%
Over 1.5 Goals81%
Over 2.5 Goals57.6%
Over 3.5 Goals39.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 71 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 67 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 55 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 48 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 48 | DDLWD |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 25 | WLLLL |
| 17 |  Kayserispor | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 57 | -36 | 23 | LLLWL |
| 18 | Fatih Karagümrük | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 20 | LLWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBeşiktaşFatih Karagümrük
1.81Goals p.g.1.07
1Goals conceded p.g.1.67
31%Clean sheets27%
56%Win rate27%
2.81Avg goals in match2.73
Recent Results
BeşiktaşLAST MATCHES
23 AprBeşiktaş0–0AlanyasporTürkiye Kupası
19 AprSamsunspor2–1BeşiktaşSüper Lig
10 AprBeşiktaş4–2AntalyasporSüper Lig
05 AprFenerbahçe1–0BeşiktaşSüper Lig
19 MarBeşiktaş2–1KasımpaşaSüper Lig
15 MarGençlerbirliği S.K.0–2BeşiktaşSüper Lig
9Win56%
4Draw25%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESFatih Karagümrük
18 AprFatih Karagümrük1–2EyüpsporSüper Lig
12 AprKonyaspor3–0Fatih KaragümrükSüper Lig
05 AprFatih Karagümrük2–1RizesporSüper Lig
19 MarKayserispor1–0Fatih KaragümrükSüper Lig
13 MarFatih Karagümrük2–0FenerbahçeSüper Lig
08 MarGaziantep FK1–1Fatih KaragümrükSüper Lig
4Win27%
2Draw13%
9Lost60%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBeşiktaş
No reported absences
Fatih Karagümrük
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Beşiktaş Win1.31 (69.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.53 (57.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.39 (42.4%)
Both Teams Score1.84 (51.6%)
BTTS No1.88 (48.4%)
Speculative
Draw5.28 (17.2%)
Fatih Karagümrük Win8.42 (13.7%)
