Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Bayern München
#1 · Bundesliga
WWWWW
4 - 2
Allianz Arena, Munich
Referee: S. Storks
VfB Stuttgart
#4 · Bundesliga
LLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
3.00
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.94 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 30.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Bayern München will face VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Bayern München has a 66.2% probability of winning this match. VfB Stuttgart has a 17.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 16.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Bayern München are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Bayern München average 3.1 goals per game
- VfB Stuttgart average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 5.2 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Bayern München66.2%1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.575.6%1.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes69.4%1.36
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.97
11.2%
3-1
9.65
10.4%
2-0
11.48
8.8%
1-1
11.94
8.4%
3-0
12.25
8.2%
2-2
12.52
8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.42 | Draw 5.45 | Away 6.18 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.23 | Under 4.00 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.05 | Under 9.04 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.63 | Under 2.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.36 | No 2.94 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.12 | 12 1.14 | X2 2.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.8%
Over 1.5 Goals89.5%
Over 2.5 Goals75.6%
Over 3.5 Goals58.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 109 | 29 | 80 | 79 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 56 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 54 | WDLLD |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 52 | LWWDD |
| 16 |  FC St. Pauli | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 26 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 24 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 19 | LWDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
3.11Goals p.g.2.06
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.5
28%Clean sheets25%
83%Win rate50%
4.17Avg goals in match3.56
Recent Results
Bayern MünchenLAST MATCHES
22 AprBayer Leverkusen0–2Bayern MünchenDFB Pokal
19 AprBayern München4–2VfB StuttgartBundesliga
11 AprFC St. Pauli0–5Bayern MünchenBundesliga
07 AprReal Madrid1–2Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League
04 AprSC Freiburg2–3Bayern MünchenBundesliga
21 MarBayern München4–0Union BerlinBundesliga
15Win83%
2Draw11%
1Lost6%
LAST MATCHESVfB Stuttgart
19 AprBayern München4–2VfB StuttgartBundesliga
04 AprVfB Stuttgart0–2Borussia DortmundBundesliga
22 MarFC Augsburg2–5VfB StuttgartBundesliga
19 MarFC Porto2–0VfB StuttgartUEFA Europa League
15 MarVfB Stuttgart1–0RB LeipzigBundesliga
12 MarVfB Stuttgart1–2FC PortoUEFA Europa League
8Win50%
2Draw13%
6Lost38%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
9 playersBayern München7
C. Kiala
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
L. Karl
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Cardozo
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
S. Gnabry
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
S. Ulreich
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
T. Bischof
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
W. Mike
Missing FixtureHip Injury
VfB Stuttgart2
D. Undav
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
L. Jovanovic
Missing FixtureBack Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Bayern München Win1.42 (66.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.23 (75.6%)
Both Teams Score1.36 (69.4%)
Value Bets
BTTS No2.94 (30.6%)
Speculative
Draw5.45 (16.5%)
VfB Stuttgart Win6.18 (17.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals4.00 (24.4%)
