Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
#6 · Bundesliga
LWDLD
1 - 2
BayArena, Leverkusen
Referee: B. Brand
FC Augsburg
#9 · Bundesliga
WDDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.68
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Bayer Leverkusen will face FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga at BayArena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Bayer Leverkusen has a 60.9% probability of winning this match. FC Augsburg has a 21.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.8%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Bayer Leverkusen60.9%1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.6%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.3%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.00
12.5%
2-0
8.76
11.5%
1-1
9.55
10.5%
3-1
9.68
10.4%
1-0
10.07
10%
3-0
10.51
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.42 | Draw 5.04 | Away 6.54 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.39 | Under 2.91 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.10 | Under 6.39 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.00 | Under 1.83 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.56 | No 2.34 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.11 | 12 1.16 | X2 2.82 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.2%
Over 1.5 Goals85.3%
Over 2.5 Goals64.6%
Over 3.5 Goals47.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 109 | 29 | 80 | 79 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 56 | LWLWW |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 54 | WDLLD |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 52 | LWWDD |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 | WDDLL |
| 16 |  FC St. Pauli | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 26 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 24 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 19 | LWDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBayer LeverkusenFC Augsburg
1.88Goals p.g.1.4
1.19Goals conceded p.g.1.73
31%Clean sheets13%
38%Win rate40%
3.06Avg goals in match3.13
Recent Results
Bayer LeverkusenLAST MATCHES
18 AprBayer Leverkusen1–2FC AugsburgBundesliga
04 AprBayer Leverkusen6–3VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
21 Mar1. FC Heidenheim3–3Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
17 MarArsenal2–0Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Champions League
14 MarBayer Leverkusen1–1Bayern MünchenBundesliga
11 MarBayer Leverkusen1–1ArsenalUEFA Champions League
6Win38%
7Draw44%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESFC Augsburg
18 AprBayer Leverkusen1–2FC AugsburgBundesliga
10 AprFC Augsburg2–21899 HoffenheimBundesliga
04 AprHamburger SV1–1FC AugsburgBundesliga
22 MarFC Augsburg2–5VfB StuttgartBundesliga
14 MarBorussia Dortmund2–0FC AugsburgBundesliga
07 MarRB Leipzig2–1FC AugsburgBundesliga
6Win40%
4Draw27%
5Lost33%
Lineups
ConfirmedBayer Leverkusen3-4-2-1Confirmed
4Jarell QuansahDEF
12Edmond TapsobaDEF
5Loïc BadéDEF
23Nathan TellaFWD
30Ibrahim MazaFWD
14Patrik SchickFWD
1Mark FlekkenGK
25Exequiel PalaciosMID
21Lucas VazquezMID
24Aleix GarcíaMID
20Alex GrimaldoMID
Substitutes
15Tim OermannDEF
17Eliesse Ben SeghirFWD
19Ernest PokuFWD
35Christian KofaneFWD
28Janis BlaswichGK
10Malik TillmanMID
7Jonas HofmannMID
42Montrell CulbreathMID
8Robert AndrichMID
FC Augsburg3-4-2-1Confirmed
6Jeffrey GouweleeuwDEF
16Cedric ZesigerDEF
34Arthur ChavesDEF
21Rodrigo RibeiroFWD
20Alexis Claude-MauriceFWD
30Anton KadeFWD
1Finn DahmenGK
19Robin FellhauerMID
13Dimitrios GiannoulisMID
32Fabian RiederMID
4Han-Noah MassengoMID
Substitutes
40Noahkai BanksDEF
3Mads PedersenDEF
31Keven SchlotterbeckDEF
39Uchenna OgunduFWD
11Ismael GharbiFWD
22Nediljko LabrovićGK
8Elvis RexhbeçajMID
36Mert KömürMID
27Marius WolfMID
Unavailable Players
5 playersBayer Leverkusen3
Arthur
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
J. Quansah
QuestionableThigh Injury
M. Terrier
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
FC Augsburg2
C. Matsima
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Y. Keitel
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Bayer Leverkusen Win1.42 (60.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.39 (64.6%)
Both Teams Score1.56 (60.3%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.91 (35.4%)
BTTS No2.34 (39.7%)
Speculative
Draw5.04 (17.8%)
FC Augsburg Win6.54 (21.3%)
