Barcelona vs Celta Vigo
Barcelona
#1 · La Liga
LWWWW
1 - 0
Camp Nou, Barcelona
Referee: J. Munuera
Celta Vigo
#7 · La Liga
LLLWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Barcelona will face Celta Vigo in the La Liga at Camp Nou.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Barcelona has a 72.6% probability of winning this match. Celta Vigo has a 12.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 15%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Barcelona are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Barcelona average 2.4 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Barcelona72.6%1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.568.7%1.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.97
11.2%
2-0
9.03
11.1%
3-1
9.33
10.8%
3-0
9.56
10.5%
4-1
12.15
8.3%
1-0
12.23
8.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.25 | Draw 6.60 | Away 10.13 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.57 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.06 | Under 8.11 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.73 | Under 2.13 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.56 | No 2.34 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.06 | 12 1.11 | X2 3.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals96.1%
Over 1.5 Goals88.4%
Over 2.5 Goals68.7%
Over 3.5 Goals55.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 44 | LLWLD |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBarcelonaCelta Vigo
2.4Goals p.g.1.28
1.13Goals conceded p.g.1.5
33%Clean sheets22%
73%Win rate33%
3.53Avg goals in match2.78
Recent Results
BarcelonaLAST MATCHES
08 AprBarcelona0–2Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
04 AprAtletico Madrid1–2BarcelonaLa Liga
22 MarBarcelona1–0Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
18 MarBarcelona7–2NewcastleUEFA Champions League
15 MarBarcelona5–2SevillaLa Liga
10 MarNewcastle1–1BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
11Win73%
1Draw7%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESCelta Vigo
22 AprBarcelona1–0Celta VigoLa Liga
12 AprCelta Vigo0–3OviedoLa Liga
09 AprSC Freiburg3–0Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
05 AprValencia2–3Celta VigoLa Liga
22 MarCelta Vigo3–4AlavesLa Liga
19 MarLyon0–2Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
6Win33%
5Draw28%
7Lost39%
Lineups
ConfirmedBarcelona4-2-3-1Confirmed
2Joao CanceloDEF
18Gerard MartínDEF
5Pau CubarsíDEF
23Jules KoundéDEF
7Ferran TorresFWD
13Joan GarcíaGK
10Lamine YamalMID
24Eric GarcíaMID
8PedriMID
6Pablo GaviMID
20Dani OlmoMID
Substitutes
4Ronald AraújoDEF
3Alejandro BaldeDEF
42Xavi EspartDEF
19Roony BardghjiFWD
14Marcus RashfordFWD
9Robert LewandowskiFWD
25Wojciech SzczęsnyGK
31Diego KochenGK
16Fermín LópezMID
43Tomás MarquésMID
21Frenkie de JongMID
17Marc CasadóMID
Celta Vigo3-4-3Confirmed
20Marcos AlonsoDEF
32Javi RodríguezDEF
29Yoel LagoDEF
18Pablo DuránFWD
9Ferran JutglàFWD
23Hugo ÁlvarezFWD
13Ionuț RaduGK
17Javier RuedaMID
8Fer LópezMID
6Ilaix MoribaMID
5Sergio CarreiraMID
Substitutes
12Manu FernándezDEF
4Joseph AidooDEF
3Óscar MinguezaDEF
14Alvaro NúñezDEF
10Iago AspasFWD
39Jones El-AbdellaouiFWD
7Borja IglesiasFWD
1Iván VillarGK
36Andrés AntañónMID
19Williot SwedbergMID
15Matias VecinoMID
22Hugo SoteloMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersBarcelona3
A. Christensen
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Bernal
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Raphinha
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Celta Vigo3
C. Dominguez
Missing FixtureIllness
C. Starfelt
Missing FixtureBack Injury
M. Roman
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Barcelona Win1.25 (72.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.27 (68.7%)
Both Teams Score1.56 (60%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.57 (31.3%)
BTTS No2.34 (40%)
Speculative
Draw6.60 (15%)
Celta Vigo Win10.13 (12.4%)
