Banfield vs Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
#27 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DLWWL
0 - 0
Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Referee: B. Ferreyra
Independ. Rivadavia
#12 · Liga Profesional Argentina
DWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 59.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Banfield will face Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Florencio Sola.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Banfield has a 32.5% probability of winning this match. Independ. Rivadavia has a 41.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 26.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Independ. Rivadavia are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Independ. Rivadavia sit 12th in the table, 15 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Independ. Rivadavia41.1%2.71
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.559.1%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.3%1.77
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.55
18.1%
0-1
6.57
15.3%
0-0
6.98
14.5%
1-0
7.01
14.3%
1-2
9.76
10.3%
2-1
10.01
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.80 | Draw 2.91 | Away 2.71 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.38 | Under 1.56 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.44 | Under 2.66 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.56 | Under 1.18 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.95 | No 1.77 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.44 | 12 1.37 | X2 1.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.7%
Over 1.5 Goals64.9%
Over 2.5 Goals40.9%
Over 3.5 Goals20.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 12 | Independ. Rivadavia | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | DWWWW | |||
| 27 | Banfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | DLLWL | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonBanfieldIndepend. Rivadavia
1.2Goals p.g.1.65
1.13Goals conceded p.g.0.82
33%Clean sheets35%
33%Win rate71%
2.33Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
BanfieldLAST MATCHES
20 AprBanfield0–0Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
06 AprArgentinos JRS3–2BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
26 MarBanfield3–0Real PilarCopa Argentina
21 MarBanfield1–0TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
15 MarRosario Central2–1BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
11 MarBanfield1–2Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
5Win33%
3Draw20%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESIndepend. Rivadavia
20 AprBanfield0–0Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
16 AprFluminense1–2Independ. RivadaviaCONMEBOL Libertadores
11 AprIndepend. Rivadavia3–1Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
07 AprIndepend. Rivadavia1–0BolívarCONMEBOL Libertadores
02 AprTigre0–2Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
23 MarIndepend. Rivadavia2–0Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
12Win71%
3Draw18%
2Lost12%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBanfield
No reported absences
Independ. Rivadavia
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.56 (59.1%)
Value Bets
Banfield Win2.80 (32.5%)
Draw2.91 (26.3%)
Independ. Rivadavia Win2.71 (41.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.38 (40.9%)
Both Teams Score1.95 (47.7%)
BTTS No1.77 (52.3%)
