Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
#5 · Süper Lig
DDDLW
4 - 0
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Referee: Y. Arslan
Kasımpaşa
#13 · Süper Lig
WWLWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.76
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Başakşehir will face Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Başakşehir has a 53% probability of winning this match. Kasımpaşa has a 25.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Kasımpaşa have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Başakşehir sit 5th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
- Kasımpaşa have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Başakşehir53%1.68
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.551.5%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%1.70
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.91
14.6%
1-0
7.27
13.8%
2-1
7.47
13.5%
2-0
8.15
12.4%
0-0
11.83
8.7%
3-1
11.80
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.68 | Draw 3.83 | Away 4.79 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.74 | Under 2.06 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 3.97 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.82 | Under 1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.70 | No 2.04 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.17 | 12 1.23 | X2 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals76.5%
Over 2.5 Goals51.5%
Over 3.5 Goals33.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 71 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 67 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 55 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Başakşehir | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 48 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 48 | DDLWD |
| 13 | Kasımpaşa | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 | WDWLW |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 25 | WLLLL |
| 17 |  Kayserispor | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 57 | -36 | 23 | LLLWL |
| 18 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 20 | LLWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBaşakşehirKasımpaşa
1.71Goals p.g.1.14
1.29Goals conceded p.g.1
29%Clean sheets43%
50%Win rate43%
3Avg goals in match2.14
Recent Results
BaşakşehirLAST MATCHES
19 AprTrabzonspor1–1BaşakşehirSüper Lig
06 AprKocaelispor0–0BaşakşehirSüper Lig
18 MarBaşakşehir0–0AntalyasporSüper Lig
14 MarGalatasaray3–0BaşakşehirSüper Lig
07 MarBaşakşehir2–1GöztepeSüper Lig
03 MarBaşakşehir2–4TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası
7Win50%
4Draw29%
3Lost21%
LAST MATCHESKasımpaşa
19 AprKasımpaşa1–0AlanyasporSüper Lig
04 AprKasımpaşa2–0KayserisporSüper Lig
19 MarBeşiktaş2–1KasımpaşaSüper Lig
15 MarKasımpaşa1–0EyüpsporSüper Lig
08 MarKonyaspor1–1KasımpaşaSüper Lig
28 FebKasımpaşa0–3RizesporSüper Lig
6Win43%
3Draw21%
5Lost36%
Lineups
ConfirmedBaşakşehir4-2-3-1Confirmed
88Kazımcan KarataşDEF
5Léo DuarteDEF
27Ousseynou BaDEF
42Omer Ali SahinerDEF
91Bertuğ YıldırımFWD
16Muhammed ŞengezerGK
7Yusuf SarıMID
20Umut GüneşMID
8Olivier KemenMID
25Amine HaritMID
14Eldor ShomurodovMID
Substitutes
6Onur BulutDEF
36Festy EboseleDEF
15Hamza GürelerDEF
77Ivan BrnićFWD
10Nuno Da CostaFWD
9Davie SelkeFWD
80Doğan AlemdarGK
18Jakub KałuzińskiMID
4Onur ErgünMID
13Miguel CrespoMID
Kasımpaşa4-2-3-1Confirmed
2Claudio WinckDEF
21Godfried FrimpongDEF
50Rodrigo BecãoDEF
4Adem ArousDEF
19Adrian BenedyczakFWD
1Andreas GianniotisGK
8CafuMID
16Andri BaldurssonMID
71Irfan Can KahveciMID
26Kerem DemirbayMID
34Fousseni DiabatéMID
Substitutes
29Taylan Utku AydınDEF
22Kamil CorekciDEF
20Nicholas OpokuDEF
33Emre TasdemirDEF
77Pape Habib GueyeFWD
17Kubilay KanatsızkuşFWD
23Cenk TosunFWD
11Ali Yavuz KolFWD
25Ali Emre YanarGK
5Eyüp AydınMID
Unavailable Players
5 playersBaşakşehir2
A. Fayzullaev
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
J. Opoku
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Kasımpaşa3
H. Hajradinovic
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Allevinah
QuestionableInactive
K. Corekci
QuestionableInactive
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Başakşehir Win1.68 (53%)
Kasımpaşa Win4.79 (25.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.74 (51.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.06 (48.5%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (53.6%)
BTTS No2.04 (46.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.83 (21.7%)
