AVS vs Sporting CP
AVS
#18 · Primeira Liga
DLDLD
1 - 1
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
Referee: P. Ramalho
Sporting CP
#3 · Primeira Liga
DLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 53.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , AVS will face Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that AVS has a 15.1% probability of winning this match. Sporting CP has a 72.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 12.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Sporting CP sit 3rd in the table, 15 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
2 — Sporting CP72.3%1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.562.8%1.30
Both Teams to Score
No53.7%1.71
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-3
6.63
15.2%
0-2
6.81
14.8%
0-4
8.35
12.1%
0-1
9.79
10.4%
1-3
9.84
10.3%
1-2
9.97
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 18.08 | Draw 9.31 | Away 1.11 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.33 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.07 | Under 7.20 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 1.96 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.03 | No 1.71 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 6.29 | 12 1.06 | X2 1.02 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.7%
Over 1.5 Goals87%
Over 2.5 Goals62.8%
Over 3.5 Goals51.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61 | 14 | 47 | 79 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 30 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 72 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 71 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 56 | WDWWL |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 48 | DDDWW |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 46 | LDWLD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 26 | LDLDL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 18 | AVS | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 13 | DDLDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAVSSporting CP
0.71Goals p.g.1.89
1.71Goals conceded p.g.0.95
29%Clean sheets37%
7%Win rate63%
2.43Avg goals in match2.84
Recent Results
AVSLAST MATCHES
11 AprAVS1–1GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
03 AprGIL Vicente3–0AVSPrimeira Liga
21 MarTondela0–0AVSPrimeira Liga
15 MarAVS0–1Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
07 MarAlverca0–0AVSPrimeira Liga
28 FebAVS0–0EstrelaPrimeira Liga
1Win7%
5Draw36%
8Lost57%
LAST MATCHESSporting CP
22 AprFC Porto0–0Sporting CPTaça de Portugal
19 AprSporting CP1–2BenficaPrimeira Liga
11 AprEstrela0–1Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
07 AprSporting CP0–1ArsenalUEFA Champions League
03 AprSporting CP4–2Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
22 MarAlverca1–4Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
12Win63%
3Draw16%
3Lost16%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAVS
No reported absences
Sporting CP
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Sporting CP Win1.11 (72.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.30 (62.8%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.33 (37.2%)
Both Teams Score2.03 (46.3%)
BTTS No1.71 (53.7%)
Speculative
AVS Win18.08 (15.1%)
Draw9.31 (12.5%)
