Austin vs Houston Dynamo
Austin
#13 · Major League Soccer
DLLDD
2 - 0
Q2 Stadium
Referee: A. Da Silva
Houston Dynamo
#10 · Major League Soccer
WWLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Austin will face Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer at Q2 Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Austin has a 35.4% probability of winning this match. Houston Dynamo has a 41.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Houston Dynamo have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Houston Dynamo41.4%2.59
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.2%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.3%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.04
16.6%
1-0
8.77
11.5%
0-1
8.78
11.5%
2-1
8.95
11.3%
1-2
9.01
11.2%
0-0
10.63
9.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.62 | Draw 3.35 | Away 2.59 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.81 | Under 1.98 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.85 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.99 | Under 1.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.17 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.46 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.46 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals75.7%
Over 2.5 Goals54.2%
Over 3.5 Goals31.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | WLLLW |
| 13 | Austin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 | DLDDL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonAustinHouston Dynamo
1Goals p.g.1.93
1.69Goals conceded p.g.1.33
25%Clean sheets20%
12%Win rate60%
2.69Avg goals in match3.27
Recent Results
AustinLAST MATCHES
18 AprToronto FC3–3AustinMajor League Soccer
14 AprLouisville City2–1AustinUS Open Cup
11 AprAustin1–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
04 AprInter Miami2–2AustinMajor League Soccer
22 MarAustin0–0Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
15 MarReal Salt Lake2–1AustinMajor League Soccer
2Win13%
6Draw38%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESHouston Dynamo
18 AprOrlando City SC0–1Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
16 AprHouston Dynamo4–1El Paso LocomotiveUS Open Cup
05 AprHouston Dynamo0–1Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
22 MarFC Dallas4–3Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
15 MarHouston Dynamo3–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
01 MarHouston Dynamo0–2Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
Lineups
ConfirmedAustin4-4-2Confirmed
3Mikkel DeslerDEF
29Guilherme BiroDEF
5Oleksandr SvatokDEF
4Brendan Hines-IkeDEF
10Myrto UzuniFWD
21Christian RamirezFWD
1Brad StuverGK
30Joseph RosalesMID
7Jayden NelsonMID
6Ilie SanchezMID
11Facundo TorresMID
Substitutes
35Mateja ĐorđevićDEF
23Žan KolmaničDEF
17Jon GallagherDEF
15Jonathan BellDEF
12Damian LasGK
38Ervin TorresMID
20Nicolas DubersarskyMID
19Calvin FodreyMID
14Besard SabovićMID
Houston Dynamo3-4-2-1Confirmed
28Erik SviatchenkoDEF
13Sam VinesDEF
34Agustin ReschDEF
10Ezequiel PonceFWD
19Mateusz BoguszFWD
20GuilhermeFWD
31Jonathan BondGK
36Felipe AndradeMID
16Hector HerreraMID
6ArturMID
11Lawrence EnnaliMID
Substitutes
21Franco NegriDEF
3Antonio CarlosDEF
17Nick MarkanichFWD
24Ibrahim AliyuFWD
1Jimmy MaurerGK
18Diadié SamassékouMID
8Jack McGlynnMID
30Agustín BouzatMID
14Duane HolmesMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersAustin
No reported absences
Houston Dynamo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.63 (57.3%)
Value Bets
Austin Win2.62 (35.4%)
Houston Dynamo Win2.59 (41.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (54.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.98 (45.8%)
BTTS No2.17 (42.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.35 (23.3%)
