Auckland vs Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
#2 · A-League
LDDLW
0 - 1
Go Media Stadium, Auckland
Referee: J. Barreiro
Central Coast Mariners
#8 · A-League
WDLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.79
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Auckland will face Central Coast Mariners in the A-League at Go Media Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Auckland has a 61.1% probability of winning this match. Central Coast Mariners has a 21.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Auckland61.1%1.35
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.70
13.1%
2-1
7.84
12.8%
1-0
9.14
11%
3-0
9.27
10.9%
1-1
9.65
10.5%
3-1
9.69
10.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.35 | Draw 5.20 | Away 7.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.44 | Under 2.66 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 5.71 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.11 | Under 1.71 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.69 | No 2.08 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.07 | 12 1.14 | X2 3.07 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.9%
Over 1.5 Goals83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals61%
Over 3.5 Goals44.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newcastle Jets | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 45 | DDLWL |
| 2 | Auckland | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 41 | LDDLW |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 40 | WDDWD |
| 4 |  Sydney | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 38 | DWDLL |
| 5 |  Melbourne City | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Melbourne Victory | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 37 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 | WDLDL |
| 10 |  Perth Glory | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 28 | DWDDL |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 26 | LDDLD |
| 12 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 21 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAucklandCentral Coast Mariners
1.67Goals p.g.1.56
1.13Goals conceded p.g.1.44
27%Clean sheets25%
33%Win rate38%
2.8Avg goals in match3
Recent Results
AucklandLAST MATCHES
19 AprAuckland0–1Central Coast MarinersA-League
11 AprAuckland2–2Melbourne VictoryA-League
03 AprAdelaide United1–1AucklandA-League
21 MarAuckland1–2MacarthurA-League
14 MarNewcastle Jets1–2AucklandA-League
08 MarAuckland2–2Perth GloryA-League
5Win33%
6Draw40%
4Lost27%
LAST MATCHESCentral Coast Mariners
19 AprAuckland0–1Central Coast MarinersA-League
10 AprCentral Coast Mariners2–2Brisbane RoarA-League
07 AprMelbourne City2–1Central Coast MarinersA-League
04 AprCentral Coast Mariners2–2Perth GloryA-League
21 MarMelbourne Victory4–1Central Coast MarinersA-League
14 MarCentral Coast Mariners1–1Adelaide UnitedA-League
6Win38%
6Draw38%
4Lost25%
Lineups
ConfirmedAuckland4-2-3-1Confirmed
17Callan ElliotDEF
2Hiroki SakaiDEF
23Daniel HallDEF
3Jake Girdwood-ReichDEF
9Sam CosgroveFWD
1Michael WoudGK
8Felipe GallegosMID
27Logan RogersonMID
6Louis VerstraeteMID
21Jesse RandallMID
77Lachlan BrookMID
Substitutes
52Luka VicelichDEF
35Jonty BidoisFWD
10Guillermo MayFWD
12James HiltonGK
7Cameron HowiesonMID
18Finn McKenlayMID
57Fitzharris VanMID
Central Coast Mariners4-5-1Confirmed
2James DonachieDEF
5Lucas MauragisDEF
26Brad TappDEF
15Storm RouxDEF
18Nathaniel BlairFWD
30Andrew RedmayneGK
23Oliver LavaleMID
72Ali AuglahMID
6Haine EamesMID
45Jesse MantellMID
48Chris DonnellMID
Substitutes
3Nathan PaullDEF
43Jacob NassoDEF
7Christian TheoharousFWD
37Bailey BrandtmanFWD
11Sabit James NgorFWD
40Dylan Peraić-CullenGK
16Harrison SteeleMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersAuckland3
F. De Vries
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
J. Brimmer
Missing FixtureInactive
O. Sail
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Central Coast Mariners3
A. McCalmont
Missing FixtureInactive
M. Di Pizio
Missing FixtureInjury
S. Clark
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Auckland Win1.35 (61.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (61%)
Both Teams Score1.69 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.66 (39%)
BTTS No2.08 (43.5%)
Speculative
Draw5.20 (17.6%)
Central Coast Mariners Win7.88 (21.3%)