Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Liga MXClausura - 15

Atletico San Luis

#12 · Liga MX

WLDWL

0 - 2

Estadio Alfonso Lastras

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

#2 · Liga MX

WWWDW

35.2%

Home Win

22%

Draw

42.9%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.

BTTS

1.64

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 61.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Atletico San Luis will face U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX at Estadio Alfonso Lastras.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Atletico San Luis has a 35.2% probability of winning this match. U.N.A.M. - Pumas has a 42.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.

Key factors in this prediction:

U.N.A.M. - Pumas are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 2nd in the table, 10 places above their opponents
U.N.A.M. - Pumas average 2.0 goals per game

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

2 — U.N.A.M. - Pumas42.9%2.26

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.559.4%1.60

Both Teams to Score

Yes61.4%1.51

✓ OUR PICK

Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

6.76

14.9%

1-2

8.52

11.8%

2-1

9.62

10.5%

0-1

9.98

10.1%

2-2

10.76

9.4%

1-0

11.05

9.2%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.81	Draw 3.59	Away 2.26
O/U 2.5	Over 1.60	Under 2.29
O/U 1.5	Over 1.17	Under 4.61
O/U 3.5	Over 2.49	Under 1.50
BTTS	Yes 1.51	No 2.41
Double Chance	1X 1.60	12 1.25	X2 1.39

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

92.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

79.7%

Over 2.5 Goals

59.4%

Over 3.5 Goals

37.6%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	11	2	3	33	17	16	35	DWLDW
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	9	6	1	32	17	15	33	WWWDW
3	Pachuca	16	9	4	3	25	17	8	31	LWWWD
4	Cruz Azul	16	8	6	2	27	17	10	30	DDDLD
5	Toluca	16	7	6	3	24	15	9	27	LLDLD
6	Club America	16	7	4	5	20	16	4	25	WWDDL
12	Atletico San Luis	16	5	3	8	23	25	-2	18	WLDWL
16	Mazatlán	16	4	3	9	21	32	-11	15	WDLLD
17	Puebla	16	3	4	9	12	24	-12	13	LLLDL
18	Santos Laguna	16	2	3	11	17	38	-21	9	LLLDW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

Atletico San LuisU.N.A.M. - Pumas

1.44Goals p.g.2

1.56Goals conceded p.g.1.25

19%Clean sheets38%

31%Win rate56%

3Avg goals in match3.25

Recent Results

Atletico San LuisLAST MATCHES

23 AprAtletico San Luis2–0Santos LagunaLiga MX

18 AprAtletico San Luis0–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX

13 AprToluca1–1Atletico San LuisLiga MX

04 AprMonterrey1–2Atletico San LuisLiga MX

22 MarAtletico San Luis1–2LeonLiga MX

14 MarAtletico San Luis1–1PachucaLiga MX

5Win31%

3Draw19%

8Lost50%

LAST MATCHESU.N.A.M. - Pumas

22 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas4–2FC JuarezLiga MX

18 AprAtletico San Luis0–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX

12 AprU.N.A.M. - Pumas3–1MazatlánLiga MX

06 AprGuadalajara Chivas2–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX

22 MarU.N.A.M. - Pumas1–0Club AmericaLiga MX

15 MarU.N.A.M. - Pumas2–2Cruz AzulLiga MX

9Win56%

5Draw31%

2Lost13%

Lineups

Confirmed

Atletico San Luis4-2-3-1Confirmed

6JuanpeDEF

2Román TorresDEF

18Aldo CruzDEF

31Eduardo ÁguilaDEF

9Joao PedroFWD

1Andrés SánchezGK

10Sébastien Salles-LamongeMID

26Sebastián Pérez BouquetMID

21Oscar MacíasMID

28Jesús MedinaMID

5Roberto MerazMID

Substitutes

15Lucas EstevesDEF

30Benjamín GalindoDEF

3Robson BambuDEF

20Leonardo FloresFWD

19Santiago MuñozFWD

17Anderson DuarteFWD

34Gibran LajudGK

14Miguel Alonso GarcíaMID

7Benjamín GaldamesMID

11David RodriguezMID

U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-1-4-2Confirmed

24Antonio LeoneDEF

7Rodrigo LopezDEF

6Nathan SilvaDEF

23Juninho VieiraFWD

31Robert MoralesFWD

1Keylor NavasGK

22Alan MedinaMID

45Pedro ViteMID

21Uriel AntunaMID

28Adalberto CarrasquillaMID

77Álvaro AnguloMID

Substitutes

19Jesús RivasDEF

5Ruben DuarteDEF

2Pablo BennevendoDEF

215Angel AzuajeDEF

9Guillermo MartínezFWD

35Pablo LaraGK

20Santiago TrigosMID

33Jordan CarrilloMID

26Ángel RicoMID

14Cesar GarzaMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Atletico San Luis

No reported absences

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Over 2.5 Goals1.60 (59.4%)

Both Teams Score1.51 (61.4%)

●Value Bets

Atletico San Luis Win2.81 (35.2%)

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win2.26 (42.9%)

Under 2.5 Goals2.29 (40.6%)

BTTS No2.41 (38.6%)

●Speculative

Draw3.59 (22%)