Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna
Atletico San Luis
#12 · Liga MX
WLDWL
2 - 0
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Santos Laguna
#18 · Liga MX
LLLDW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.59
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 61.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Atletico San Luis will face Santos Laguna in the Liga MX at Estadio Alfonso Lastras.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Atletico San Luis has a 57.7% probability of winning this match. Santos Laguna has a 21.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.1%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Atletico San Luis57.7%1.87
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.3%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes62.1%1.49
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.27
13.8%
2-1
7.81
12.9%
1-0
9.63
10.4%
2-0
10.51
9.6%
2-2
10.95
9.2%
1-2
11.40
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.87 | Draw 3.78 | Away 3.62 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.54 | Under 2.37 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 4.90 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.32 | Under 1.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.49 | No 2.44 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.25 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.88 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals81%
Over 2.5 Goals61.3%
Over 3.5 Goals40.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 35 | DWLDW |
| 2 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Pachuca | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 30 | DDDLD |
| 5 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 | LLDLD |
| 6 |  Club America | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 | WWDDL |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 | WLDWL |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 17 |  Puebla | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 13 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 9 | LLLDW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAtletico San LuisSantos Laguna
1.44Goals p.g.1.06
1.56Goals conceded p.g.2.38
19%Clean sheets0%
31%Win rate12%
3Avg goals in match3.44
Recent Results
Atletico San LuisLAST MATCHES
23 AprAtletico San Luis2–0Santos LagunaLiga MX
18 AprAtletico San Luis0–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
13 AprToluca1–1Atletico San LuisLiga MX
04 AprMonterrey1–2Atletico San LuisLiga MX
22 MarAtletico San Luis1–2LeonLiga MX
14 MarAtletico San Luis1–1PachucaLiga MX
5Win31%
3Draw19%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESSantos Laguna
23 AprAtletico San Luis2–0Santos LagunaLiga MX
19 AprSantos Laguna0–1AtlasLiga MX
12 AprPachuca4–2Santos LagunaLiga MX
05 AprSantos Laguna1–1Club AmericaLiga MX
22 MarSantos Laguna2–1PueblaLiga MX
14 MarGuadalajara Chivas3–0Santos LagunaLiga MX
2Win13%
3Draw19%
11Lost69%
Lineups
ConfirmedAtletico San Luis4-2-3-1Confirmed
31Eduardo ÁguilaDEF
2Román TorresDEF
18Aldo CruzDEF
3Robson BambuDEF
9Joao PedroFWD
1Andrés SánchezGK
10Sébastien Salles-LamongeMID
15Lucas EstevesMID
5Roberto MerazMID
21Oscar MacíasMID
11David RodriguezMID
Substitutes
6JuanpeDEF
4Julio César DomínguezDEF
20Leonardo FloresFWD
25Fidel BarajasFWD
19Santiago MuñozFWD
17Anderson DuarteFWD
34Gibran LajudGK
7Benjamín GaldamesMID
14Miguel Alonso GarcíaMID
26Sebastián Pérez BouquetMID
Santos Laguna4-3-1-2Confirmed
35Kevin BalantaDEF
17Emmanuel EcheverríaDEF
2Bruno AmioneDEF
22Kevin PiconDEF
9Lucas Di YorioFWD
10Ezequiel BullaudeFWD
33Hector HolguinGK
8Salvador MariscalMID
5Aldo LopezMID
6Javier GuemezMID
21Francisco VillalbaMID
Substitutes
4Jose AbellaDEF
19Haret OrtegaDEF
29Tahiel JiménezFWD
7Cristián DájomeFWD
1Carlos AcevedoGK
14Efrain OronaMID
195Nelson CedilloMID
193Luis GómezMID
24Diego MedinaMID
26Ramiro SordoMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtletico San Luis
No reported absences
Santos Laguna
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Atletico San Luis Win1.87 (57.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.54 (61.3%)
Both Teams Score1.49 (62.1%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.37 (38.7%)
BTTS No2.44 (37.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.78 (21.1%)
Santos Laguna Win3.62 (21.1%)