Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
#14 · Major League Soccer
LWLDW
1 - 2
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Referee: R. Montero
New England Revolution
#5 · Major League Soccer
WDWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Atlanta United FC will face New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Atlanta United FC has a 39.1% probability of winning this match. New England Revolution has a 37.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- New England Revolution have won 3 of their last 5 games
- New England Revolution sit 5th in the table, 9 places above their opponents
- New England Revolution average 2.3 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Atlanta United FC39.1%2.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.9%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.8%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.14
16.3%
1-0
7.96
12.6%
2-1
8.29
12.1%
0-1
9.46
10.7%
1-2
10.15
10%
0-0
10.34
9.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.27 | Draw 3.35 | Away 3.05 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.84 | Under 1.94 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.26 | Under 3.67 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.08 | Under 1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.66 | No 2.12 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.36 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.61 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.7%
Over 1.5 Goals74.4%
Over 2.5 Goals55.9%
Over 3.5 Goals30.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonAtlanta United FCNew England Revolution
1.2Goals p.g.2.25
1.53Goals conceded p.g.1.5
20%Clean sheets25%
27%Win rate44%
2.73Avg goals in match3.75
Recent Results
Atlanta United FCLAST MATCHES
18 AprAtlanta United FC0–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
15 AprChattanooga1–3Atlanta United FCUS Open Cup
04 AprAtlanta United FC1–3Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
21 MarAtlanta United FC0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
14 MarAtlanta United FC3–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
08 MarAtlanta United FC2–3Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
4Draw27%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESNew England Revolution
18 AprNew England Revolution2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
14 AprNew England Revolution1–1Rhode IslandUS Open Cup
11 AprNew England Revolution1–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
04 AprNew England Revolution3–0CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
22 MarSt. Louis City3–1New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
15 MarNew England Revolution6–1FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
7Win44%
3Draw19%
6Lost38%
Lineups
ConfirmedAtlanta United FC4-4-2Confirmed
47Matthew EdwardsDEF
18Pedro AmadorDEF
6Juan BerrocalDEF
4Enea MihajDEF
11Saba LobzhanidzeFWD
22Fafà PicaultFWD
1Lucas HoyosGK
59Aleksey MiranchukMID
88Matías GalarzaMID
28William ReillyMID
48Cooper SanchezMID
Substitutes
3Elías BáezDEF
5Stian GregersenDEF
2Ronald HernándezDEF
9Emmanuel Latte LathFWD
30Cayman TogashiFWD
42Jayden HibbertGK
8Tristan MuyumbaMID
20Luke BrennanMID
35Ajani FortuneMID
New England Revolution4-3-3Confirmed
12Ilay FeingoldDEF
23William SandsDEF
2Mamadou FofanaDEF
22Ethan KohlerDEF
7Griffin YowFWD
11Dor TurgemanFWD
41Luca LangoniFWD
30Matt TurnerGK
21Brooklyn RainesMID
80Alhassan YusufMID
10Carles GilMID
Substitutes
88Andrew FarrellDEF
4Tanner BeasonDEF
25Peyton MillerDEF
17Marcos ZambranoFWD
32Malcolm FryFWD
33Donovan ParisianGK
77Diego FagúndezMID
38Eric KleinMID
35Cristiano OliveiraMID
Unavailable Players
8 playersAtlanta United FC4
M. Almiron
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. Alzate
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Sergio Santos
Missing FixtureIllness
T. Jacob
QuestionableLeg Injury
New England Revolution4
B. Ceballos
QuestionableInjury
J. Yueill
QuestionableInjury
L. Campana
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Polster
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.84 (55.9%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (58.8%)
Value Bets
Atlanta United FC Win2.27 (39.1%)
New England Revolution Win3.05 (37.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.94 (44.1%)
BTTS No2.12 (41.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.35 (23.2%)
