Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
#14 · Major League Soccer
LWLDW
0 - 2
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Referee: A. Chapman
Nashville SC
#1 · Major League Soccer
WWWDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Atlanta United FC will face Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Atlanta United FC has a 30.5% probability of winning this match. Nashville SC has a 46.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Nashville SC sit 1st in the table, 13 places above their opponents
- Nashville SC have a solid defence with 0.5 goals conceded per game
- Nashville SC have kept clean sheets in 56% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Nashville SC46.3%2.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.6%2.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.14
16.4%
0-1
8.10
12.4%
1-2
8.23
12.2%
1-0
9.92
10.2%
2-1
10.03
10.1%
0-2
10.38
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.14 | Draw 3.42 | Away 2.19 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.79 | Under 2.01 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.90 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.93 | Under 1.38 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.17 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.64 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.34 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.2%
Over 1.5 Goals75.9%
Over 2.5 Goals49.4%
Over 3.5 Goals32%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 | LLWDW |
| 3 |  Charlotte | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 15 |  Orlando City SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonAtlanta United FCNashville SC
1.2Goals p.g.1.67
1.53Goals conceded p.g.0.5
20%Clean sheets56%
27%Win rate56%
2.73Avg goals in match2.17
Recent Results
Atlanta United FCLAST MATCHES
18 AprAtlanta United FC0–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
15 AprChattanooga1–3Atlanta United FCUS Open Cup
04 AprAtlanta United FC1–3Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
21 MarAtlanta United FC0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
14 MarAtlanta United FC3–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
08 MarAtlanta United FC2–3Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
4Win27%
4Draw27%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESNashville SC
18 AprAtlanta United FC0–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
15 AprClub America0–1Nashville SCCONCACAF Champions League
11 AprCharlotte1–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
08 AprNashville SC0–0Club AmericaCONCACAF Champions League
05 AprChicago Fire1–0Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
21 MarNashville SC5–0Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
10Win56%
5Draw28%
2Lost11%
Lineups
ConfirmedAtlanta United FC4-3-3Confirmed
55Tomás JacobDEF
3Elías BáezDEF
4Enea MihajDEF
5Stian GregersenDEF
48Cooper SanchezFWD
9Emmanuel Latte LathFWD
59Aleksey MiranchukFWD
1Lucas HoyosGK
88Matías GalarzaMID
35Ajani FortuneMID
8Tristan MuyumbaMID
Substitutes
2Ronald HernándezDEF
6Juan BerrocalDEF
18Pedro AmadorDEF
47Matthew EdwardsDEF
22Fafà PicaultFWD
30Cayman TogashiFWD
11Saba LobzhanidzeFWD
42Jayden HibbertGK
28William ReillyMID
Nashville SC4-4-2Confirmed
31Andy NajarDEF
2Daniel LovitzDEF
3Maxwell WoledziDEF
4Jeisson PalaciosDEF
10Hany MukhtarFWD
41Warren MadrigalFWD
99Brian SchwakeGK
37Ahmed QasemMID
20Edvard Sandvik TagsethMID
16Matthew CorcoranMID
7Cristian EspinozaMID
Substitutes
5Jack MaherDEF
22Josh BauerDEF
27Reed Baker-WhitingDEF
17Woobens PaciusFWD
1Joe WillisGK
6Bryan AcostaMID
19Alex MuylMID
14Shakur MohammedMID
8Patrick YazbekMID
Unavailable Players
5 playersAtlanta United FC3
M. Almiron
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. Alzate
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Sergio Santos
Missing FixtureIllness
Nashville SC2
C. Applewhite
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
S. Surridge
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Atlanta United FC Win3.14 (30.5%)
Nashville SC Win2.19 (46.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.79 (49.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (50.6%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (52.5%)
BTTS No2.17 (47.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.42 (23.2%)
