Athletic Club vs Osasuna
Athletic Club
#9 · La Liga
WLWLL
1 - 0
Estadio de San Mamés, Bilbao
Referee: V. Garcia
Osasuna
#10 · La Liga
LDDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.90
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.81 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Athletic Club will face Osasuna in the La Liga at Estadio de San Mamés.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Athletic Club has a 51.5% probability of winning this match. Osasuna has a 25.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.4%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Athletic Club51.5%1.86
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.1%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%1.81
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.29
15.9%
1-0
6.39
15.7%
2-1
7.75
13%
2-0
8.26
12.1%
0-0
9.14
11%
0-1
11.13
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.86 | Draw 3.46 | Away 4.46 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.97 | Under 1.85 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.36 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.32 | Under 1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.81 | No 1.93 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.21 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals72%
Over 2.5 Goals48.9%
Over 3.5 Goals28.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 | WLLWL |
| 10 | Osasuna | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 39 | LDDWL |
| 18 |  Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAthletic ClubOsasuna
1.21Goals p.g.1.4
1.36Goals conceded p.g.1.33
7%Clean sheets13%
43%Win rate33%
2.57Avg goals in match2.73
Recent Results
Athletic ClubLAST MATCHES
21 AprAthletic Club1–0OsasunaLa Liga
05 AprGetafe2–0Athletic ClubLa Liga
22 MarAthletic Club2–1Real BetisLa Liga
14 MarGirona3–0Athletic ClubLa Liga
07 MarAthletic Club0–1BarcelonaLa Liga
04 MarReal Sociedad1–0Athletic ClubCopa del Rey
6Win43%
2Draw14%
6Lost43%
LAST MATCHESOsasuna
21 AprAthletic Club1–0OsasunaLa Liga
12 AprOsasuna1–1Real BetisLa Liga
05 AprAlaves2–2OsasunaLa Liga
21 MarOsasuna1–0GironaLa Liga
15 MarReal Sociedad3–1OsasunaLa Liga
07 MarOsasuna2–2MallorcaLa Liga
5Win33%
6Draw40%
4Lost27%
Lineups
ConfirmedAthletic Club4-2-3-1Confirmed
5Yeray ÁlvarezDEF
17Yuri BerchicheDEF
2Andoni GorosabelDEF
14Aymeric LaporteDEF
11Gorka GuruzetaFWD
1Unai SimónGK
16Iñigo Ruiz de GalarretaMID
18Mikel JauregizarMID
9Iñaki WilliamsMID
7Álex BerenguerMID
10Nico WilliamsMID
Substitutes
4Aitor ParedesDEF
3Daniel VivianDEF
12Jesús AresoDEF
19Adama BoiroDEF
22Nico SerranoFWD
25Urko IzetaFWD
27Alex PadillaGK
23Robert NavarroMID
6Mikel VesgaMID
20Unai GómezMID
30Alejandro RegoMID
8Oihan SancetMID
Osasuna4-2-3-1Confirmed
19Valentin RosierDEF
20Javi GalánDEF
5Jorge HerrandoDEF
22Flavien BoyomoDEF
17Ante BudimirFWD
1Sergio HerreraGK
7Jon MoncayolaMID
6Lucas TorroMID
14Ruben GarciaMID
10Aimar OrozMID
21Victor MuñozMID
Substitutes
41Iñigo ArguibideDEF
23Abel BretonesDEF
3Juan CruzDEF
18Raúl MoroFWD
16Moi GomezFWD
11Kike BarjaFWD
9Raúl García de HaroFWD
13Aitor FernándezGK
31Dimitrios StamatakisGK
8Iker MuñozMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersAthletic Club3
B. Prados Diaz
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Sannadi
Missing FixtureCoach's decision
U. Egiluz
Missing FixtureCoach's decision
Osasuna3
A. Catena
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
A. Osambela
Missing FixtureRed Card
I. Benito
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Athletic Club Win1.86 (51.5%)
Osasuna Win4.46 (25.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.97 (48.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.85 (51.1%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (52.5%)
BTTS No1.93 (47.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.46 (23.4%)
