Argentinos JRS vs Atletico Tucuman
Argentinos JRS
#5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WLWWW
1 - 0
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires
Referee: B. Amiconi
Atletico Tucuman
#26 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LDLWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 62.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Argentinos JRS will face Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Argentinos JRS has a 60.8% probability of winning this match. Atletico Tucuman has a 15.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Argentinos JRS are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Argentinos JRS sit 5th in the table, 21 places above their opponents
- Argentinos JRS boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- Argentinos JRS have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Argentinos JRS60.8%1.65
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.562%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No58.2%1.63
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.10
19.7%
2-0
6.51
15.4%
1-1
6.54
15.3%
0-0
7.58
13.3%
2-1
7.97
12.6%
0-1
10.88
9.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.65 | Draw 3.44 | Away 5.81 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.30 | Under 1.60 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.41 | Under 2.79 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.33 | Under 1.20 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.17 | No 1.63 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.12 | 12 1.27 | X2 2.18 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87.6%
Over 1.5 Goals66.4%
Over 2.5 Goals38%
Over 3.5 Goals21.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | WDWWD | |||
| 2 |  River Plate | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | LWWWW | |||
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DWLLW | |||
| 4 |  Racing Club | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | DLLWW | |||
| 5 | Argentinos JRS | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | WLWWW | |||
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | WLWLW | |||
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | LDLWL | |||
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | LLWWL | |||
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | DLDLL | |||
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | LLDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonArgentinos JRSAtletico Tucuman
1Goals p.g.1.06
0.71Goals conceded p.g.1.31
53%Clean sheets25%
47%Win rate25%
1.71Avg goals in match2.38
Recent Results
Argentinos JRSLAST MATCHES
19 AprArgentinos JRS1–0Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
11 AprIndepend. Rivadavia3–1Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
06 AprArgentinos JRS3–2BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
31 MarAldosivi0–2Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
27 MarArgentinos JRS2–1LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
23 MarArgentinos JRS1–0PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
8Win47%
6Draw35%
3Lost18%
LAST MATCHESAtletico Tucuman
19 AprArgentinos JRS1–0Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
12 AprAtletico Tucuman0–0TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
05 AprRosario Central2–1Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
25 MarAtletico Tucuman2–1Sportivo BarracasCopa Argentina
21 MarAtletico Tucuman1–0Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
16 MarBarracas Central2–1Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
4Win25%
4Draw25%
8Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersArgentinos JRS
No reported absences
Atletico Tucuman
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Argentinos JRS Win1.65 (60.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.60 (62%)
BTTS No1.63 (58.2%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.30 (38%)
Both Teams Score2.17 (41.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (23.8%)
Atletico Tucuman Win5.81 (15.4%)
