Angers vs Le Havre
Angers
#13 · Ligue 1
DDLLW
1 - 1
Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Referee: M. Bollengier
Le Havre
#14 · Ligue 1
DDLDL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.64
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 62.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Angers will face Le Havre in the Ligue 1 at Stade Raymond-Kopa.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Angers has a 36.4% probability of winning this match. Le Havre has a 37.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 26.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.4 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Le Havre37.4%2.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.562.4%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No54.6%1.80
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.61
17.9%
0-1
6.31
15.9%
0-0
6.97
14.4%
1-0
7.65
13.1%
1-2
9.04
11.1%
0-2
9.99
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.26 | Draw 3.03 | Away 2.40 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.38 | Under 1.58 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.43 | Under 2.72 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.41 | Under 1.19 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.93 | No 1.80 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.57 | 12 1.36 | X2 1.33 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.7%
Over 1.5 Goals65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals37.6%
Over 3.5 Goals21.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 66 | WLWWL |
| 2 |  Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 63 | DWLWL |
| 3 |  Lille | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 54 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Lyon | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 54 | WWDLD |
| 5 |  Rennes | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Marseille | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 52 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Angers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 34 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Le Havre | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 30 | DDDLD |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 | DDDWL |
| 17 |  Nantes | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Metz | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 15 | LLDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAngersLe Havre
0.64Goals p.g.0.79
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.21
36%Clean sheets14%
21%Win rate21%
2.14Avg goals in match2
Recent Results
AngersLAST MATCHES
18 AprAngers1–1Le HavreLigue 1
05 AprAngers0–0LyonLigue 1
20 MarLens5–1AngersLigue 1
14 MarAngers0–2NiceLigue 1
07 MarNantes0–1AngersLigue 1
28 FebMonaco2–0AngersLigue 1
3Win21%
4Draw29%
7Lost50%
LAST MATCHESLe Havre
18 AprAngers1–1Le HavreLigue 1
05 AprLe Havre1–1AuxerreLigue 1
22 MarParis FC3–2Le HavreLigue 1
15 MarLe Havre0–0LyonLigue 1
08 MarStade Brestois 292–0Le HavreLigue 1
28 FebLe Havre0–1Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
3Win21%
5Draw36%
6Lost43%
Lineups
ConfirmedAngers5-3-2Confirmed
21Jordan LefortDEF
4Ousmane CamaraDEF
20Marius LouerDEF
27Lilian RaolisoaDEF
3Jacques EkomiéDEF
35Prosper PeterFWD
7Amine SbaiFWD
12Hervé KoffiGK
93Haris BelkeblaMID
8Branco Van den BoomenMID
15Pierrick CapelleMID
Substitutes
26Florent HaninDEF
25Abdoulaye BambaDEF
9Goduine KoyalipouFWD
36Lanroy MachineFWD
16Melvin ZingaGK
24Emmanuel BiumlaMID
46Bané DiattaMID
6Louis MoutonMID
23Dan SinatéMID
Le Havre3-4-1-2Confirmed
15Ayumu SekoDEF
4Gautier LlorisDEF
93Arouna SanganteDEF
45Issa SoumaréFWD
25Mbwana Ally SamattaFWD
17Sofiane BoufalFWD
99Mory DiawGK
19Lucas Gourna-DouathMID
14Rassoul NdiayeMID
13Fodé DoucouréMID
18Yanis ZouaouiMID
Substitutes
29Stephan ZagadouDEF
32Timothee PembeleDEF
7Loic NégoDEF
20Noam Obougou JacquetFWD
11Godson KyeremehFWD
77Lionel M'PasiGK
78Daren Nbenbege MosengoMID
8Yassine KechtaMID
26Simon EbonogMID
Unavailable Players
8 playersAngers5
A. Bamba
Missing FixtureInjury
C. Arcus
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
H. Djibirin
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Courcoul
Missing FixtureInjury
Y. Belkhdim
Missing FixtureArm Injury
Le Havre3
A. Toure
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
F. Mambimbi
Missing FixtureInjury
S. Ebonog
QuestionableInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.58 (62.4%)
Value Bets
Angers Win3.26 (36.4%)
Draw3.03 (26.3%)
Le Havre Win2.40 (37.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.38 (37.6%)
Both Teams Score1.93 (45.4%)
BTTS No1.80 (54.6%)
