Alaves vs Mallorca
Alaves
#18 · La Liga
DWDLL
2 - 1
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
Mallorca
#15 · La Liga
WLWDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.83
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 (implied 56.7%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.1% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.75. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Alaves will face Mallorca in the La Liga at Estadio Mendizorrotza.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Alaves has a 45.3% probability of winning this match. Mallorca has a 30.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Alaves45.3%2.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.6%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%1.76
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.98
16.8%
1-0
7.03
14.3%
2-1
8.22
12.2%
0-0
9.12
11%
2-0
9.41
10.7%
0-1
9.86
10.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.08 | Draw 3.25 | Away 3.72 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.99 | Under 1.83 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.31 | Under 3.30 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.35 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.76 | No 1.98 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.27 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.72 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.7%
Over 1.5 Goals71.6%
Over 2.5 Goals53.6%
Over 3.5 Goals28%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 32 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 30 | 55 | 82 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 74 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 62 | DWLWD |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 57 | LLLLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 50 | DWDDL |
| 6 |  Getafe | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 44 | WLWWL |
| 15 | Mallorca | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 18 | Alaves | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Levante | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 32 | WWLWD |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 28 | DWWLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAlavesMallorca
1.54Goals p.g.1.31
1.69Goals conceded p.g.1.85
8%Clean sheets0%
31%Win rate31%
3.23Avg goals in match3.15
Recent Results
AlavesLAST MATCHES
05 AprAlaves2–2OsasunaLa Liga
22 MarCelta Vigo3–4AlavesLa Liga
13 MarAlaves1–1VillarrealLa Liga
08 MarValencia3–2AlavesLa Liga
27 FebLevante2–0AlavesLa Liga
23 FebAlaves2–2GironaLa Liga
4Win31%
4Draw31%
5Lost38%
LAST MATCHESMallorca
04 AprMallorca2–1Real MadridLa Liga
21 MarElche2–1MallorcaLa Liga
15 MarMallorca2–1EspanyolLa Liga
07 MarOsasuna2–2MallorcaLa Liga
28 FebMallorca0–1Real SociedadLa Liga
22 FebCelta Vigo2–0MallorcaLa Liga
4Win31%
1Draw8%
8Lost62%
Lineups
ConfirmedAlaves4-4-2Confirmed
14Nahuel TenagliaDEF
7Ángel PérezDEF
17Jonny OttoDEF
24Victor ParadaDEF
15Lucas BoyéFWD
11Toni MartínezFWD
1Antonio SiveraGK
21Abderrahman RebbachMID
8Antonio BlancoMID
19Pablo IbáñezMID
10Carles AleñáMID
Substitutes
3Youssef Enriquez LekhedimDEF
16Ville KoskiDEF
5Jon PachecoDEF
27Egoitz MuñozDEF
9Mariano DiazFWD
22Ibrahim DiabatéFWD
13Raúl FernándezGK
31Grégoire SwiderskiGK
18Jon GuridiMID
6Ander GuevaraMID
4Denis SuarezMID
20Calebe GonçalvesMID
Mallorca4-2-3-1Confirmed
27David LópezDEF
23Pablo MaffeoDEF
22Johan MojicaDEF
24Martin ValjentDEF
7Vedat MuriqiFWD
1Leo RománGK
17Jan VirgiliMID
5Omar MascarellMID
10Sergi DarderMID
12Samú CostaMID
20Pablo TorreMID
Substitutes
3Toni LatoDEF
2Mateu MoreyDEF
34Javier OlaizolaDEF
19Javi LlabrésFWD
30Justin-Noel KalumbaFWD
9AbdonFWD
11Takuma AsanoFWD
25Iván CuéllarGK
6Antonio SánchezMID
39Jandro GarcíaMID
28Cesc RibaMID
8Manu MorlanesMID
Unavailable Players
8 playersAlaves2
C. Protesoni
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
F. Garces
Missing FixtureSuspended
Mallorca6
A. Raillo
Missing FixtureInjury
J. Salas
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
L. Bergstrom
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Joseph
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Kumbulla
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Z. Luvumbo
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.76 (57.1%)
Value Bets
Alaves Win2.08 (45.3%)
Mallorca Win3.72 (30.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.99 (53.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.83 (46.4%)
BTTS No1.98 (42.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.25 (24%)
